Hamas Proposes Agreed Formula on Weapons in Gaza Ceasefire Talks Amid Israeli Skepticism

Sources close to Hamas report progress in Egyptian- and international-mediated talks aimed at advancing the Gaza ceasefire agreement, focusing on key issues such as weapons management, governance mechanisms, and continuation of civilian operations. A Hamas-affiliated source told ynet that a "certain formula" has been developed regarding weapons, involving the possibility of handing over and storing arms under an agreed mechanism. This approach reportedly has support from Hamas and international mediators.

However, the main obstacle remains Israel's position. The source expressed doubt that the Netanyahu government would accept anything short of complete disarmament of Hamas. The current formula might serve as a basis for future negotiations, especially if there is a political change in Israel, with potential American backing facilitating progress under a different Israeli government.

Palestinian sources indicate Hamas has shown flexibility on the weapons issue within a "roadmap" promoted by international envoy Nikolay Mladenov. The plan emphasizes limiting the use of heavy weapons and military infrastructure rather than transferring arms externally. One proposal includes storing heavy weapons in designated facilities under a Palestinian technocratic committee's supervision, maintaining Palestinian control over Gaza's mechanisms, effectively Hamas's control.

Other unresolved issues include the extent of Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and the deployment of an international stabilization force. Palestinian sources say the plan involves Israeli redeployment to an agreed line, international force deployment, and a monitoring mechanism to prevent violations. Israel fears a full withdrawal without an effective security mechanism could allow Hamas to rebuild its military strength.

American and international mediators are central to pushing both sides toward the next phase of the agreement, aiming to prevent renewed conflict and establish stable Gaza governance. The key question remains whether Hamas's flexibility on weapons will be enough to shift Israel's stance or if disputes over Hamas's disarmament and Israeli military presence will continue to delay progress. Ultimately, the agreement's success depends on the details, U.S. pressure, and Israel's political landscape.