Likud Holds Steady as Largest Party in New Israeli Poll

One day after the deadline for submitting electoral lists, the Likud party has lodged new objections, and last-minute alliances have been formed. A new poll conducted by i24NEWS, through the Direct Polls institute led by Tzuriiel Sharon, indicates the Likud party maintains its position as the largest party, holding steady with 27 seats, consistent with the previous i24NEWS poll on September 2nd.

Other parties saw shifts in their projected seat count. The Yishai! party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, lost one seat, now projected at 22. Benny Gantz's party gained one seat to reach 10. The Democratic party secured 9 seats, similar to last week's results, as did Yahadut HaTorah with 8 seats. Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party also gained one seat, reaching 8.

Israel Beiteinu, Shas, and the Joint List each maintained their strength, with all three projected to win 7 seats. The Religious Zionism and Identity parties, running together, held onto 6 seats. The United Arab List remains at 5 seats, and the "Your People Israel" party, led by Yaron Vinter, closed the list with 4 seats, a decrease of one.

Parties failing to cross the electoral threshold after the list closures include "The Reservists" and "The Economists" at 1.4%, and "Blue and White" at only 1.1%. Several parties received less than 1% of the vote, including "The Haredi Public," "Black," "Noam for Israel," "Achi," "The Public," and "Israel First - Ali Yarok."

The bloc map remains unchanged from the previous week, with a tie between the potential coalition and opposition blocs. The coalition is projected to secure 60 seats, the opposition 48, and Arab parties 12.

The poll was conducted on September 9, 2026, by Direct Polls, managed by Tzuriiel Sharon for i24NEWS, surveying 1,054 adult participants representing a cross-section of Israel's population. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.0% with 95% confidence.