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not everywhere· Politics· Updated

New Poll Shows Opposition Bloc Leading Netanyahu's Coalition Six Days Before Election

A Channel 13 poll released on Wednesday, six days before the upcoming Knesset elections, shows the opposition bloc leading Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition by 52 to 49 seats. The shift comes as the "Amcha Israel" party, led by Ofer Winter, fell below the electoral threshold to 3.2% of the vote, down from its previous four-seat projection. Another party, "Haredi Public", also failed to cross the threshold, receiving only 1.2% of the vote.

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New Poll Shows Opposition Bloc Leading Netanyahu's Coalition Six Days Before Election
Illustration by baba

What happened

  1. 01A Channel 13 poll shows the opposition bloc leading Netanyahu's coalition 52-49 six days before the Knesset elections.
  2. 02Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party fell below the electoral threshold to 3.2%, losing its previous four-seat projection.
  3. 03Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads all individual lists with 20 seats, while Likud follows with 19 seats.
  4. 04A new reservists' party led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha is projected to win four seats with 3.6% of the vote.
  5. 05Gadi Eisenkot is preferred over Benjamin Netanyahu for prime minister by 46% to 38% of respondents.
  6. 06An Eisenkot-led coalition is trusted to handle the conscription crisis by 49% of respondents, compared to 27% for Netanyahu's.
  7. 07A majority of Israelis, 59%, expressed concern about the integrity and potential damage to the upcoming election process.

Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads the poll with 20 seats, followed by Netanyahu's Likud party, which gained one seat to reach 19. Naftali Bennett's party, referred to as "Achdut", "B'Yachad", or "Beiteinu" across the reports, remains stable at 14 seats, while Yair Golan's "Democrats" rose to 10 seats. The Joint List is projected to win nine seats, while Religious Zionism, United Torah Judaism, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu are each expected to receive eight seats. Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit and Shas are each projected to win seven seats, and the United List maintained six seats.

A new "reservists' party" led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha is projected to win four seats with 3.6% of the vote, potentially acting as a kingmaker. Arab parties are projected to win 15 seats in total.

In personal matchups, Eisenkot is preferred over Netanyahu as prime minister by 46% to 38%. An Eisenkot-led coalition also holds higher public confidence in handling the conscription crisis, leading Netanyahu's coalition 49% to 27%. Additionally, 59% of Israelis expressed concerns about the integrity of the upcoming elections.

Summarized by baba from the reports of 3 newsrooms. Updated

Latest report: Kikar HaShabbat. Read Kikar HaShabbat’s original

The coverage

3 newsrooms on this story

Who covered it

  • LeftNone
  • CentreNone
  • RightNone
  • Haredi1
  • Arab1
  • Other1

Not in the Left, Centre or Right press

How it broke

See which of the 3 newsrooms broke it, and who waited

How the headlines differ

Kikar HaShabbatHaredi · the lead report

New Poll Shows Opposition Bloc Leading Netanyahu's Coalition Six Days Before Election

2 more newsrooms worded it differently