Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc Shrinking Ahead of Elections
Translated & summarized from Al-Shams by baba
A Channel 13 poll shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition bloc dropping to 49 seats, while opposition parties hold 52 seats, just days before the Knesset elections. The "Amcha Yisrael" party, led by Ofer Winter, fell below the electoral threshold, potentially impacting coalition calculations. Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads with 20 seats, and Eisenkot also polled better than Netanyahu as preferred prime minister. Additionally, a majority of Israelis expressed concerns about election integrity.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Netanyahu's coalition bloc fell to 49 seats in a Channel 13 poll, trailing opposition parties by three seats.
- Ofer Winter's "Amcha Yisrael" party failed to cross the electoral threshold, potentially altering coalition dynamics.
- Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads the poll with 20 seats, ahead of Netanyahu's Likud with 19.
- Gadi Eisenkot is preferred over Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister by 46% to 38% in the poll.
- A majority of Israelis, 59%, expressed concerns about the integrity of the upcoming elections.
- Confidence in handling the conscription crisis is higher for an Eisenkot-led coalition (49%) than Netanyahu's (27%).
A Channel 13 poll released Wednesday evening indicates that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's governing coalition bloc has fallen to 49 Knesset seats, while opposition parties collectively hold 52 seats. This decline comes as the "Amcha Yisrael" party, led by Ofer Winter, has fallen below the electoral threshold. With six days until the upcoming Knesset elections, "Amcha Yisrael" garnered 3.2% of the vote, slightly below the 3.25% threshold required to enter parliament. Another party, "Chareidi Ha'am," received only 1.2% of the vote.
The poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leading with 20 seats, followed by Netanyahu's Likud party with 19 seats, an increase of one seat from the previous poll. Naftali Bennett's "B'Yachad" party maintained 14 seats, while Yair Golan's "Democrats" rose to 10 seats. The Joint List held steady with nine seats.
Other parties included Religious Zionism led by Bezalel Smotrich, Yahadut HaTorah, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu, each with eight seats. Itamar Ben-Gvir's "Otzma Yehudit" and Shas each secured seven seats. The United List maintained six seats, and Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha's list received four seats, exceeding the threshold with 3.6% of the vote. The two Arab lists combined hold 15 seats.
In a head-to-head question about who is best suited to be prime minister, Eisenkot led Netanyahu, with 46% supporting Eisenkot compared to 38% for Netanyahu. Regarding the conscription crisis, 49% of respondents expressed confidence in a coalition led by Eisenkot to handle it effectively, versus 27% who trusted a Netanyahu-led coalition.
The poll also revealed widespread concerns about election integrity, with 59% of Israelis fearing manipulation of the elections and democratic processes. This concern was higher among opposition voters (66%) than coalition voters (50%). The results highlight the close race and the potential impact of parties failing to cross the electoral threshold on the final seat distribution and government formation.
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