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Ongoing Story· Day 43

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

93 developments

KipaPolitics

New Poll Shows Netanyahu's Likud Weakening Ahead of Election

Translated & summarized from Kipa by baba

Religious-rightNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A new Maariv poll shows Prime Minister Netanyahu's Likud party losing two mandates, falling to 18 seats, while Arab parties collectively gain to reach 14 seats. The governing coalition bloc is projected to secure 51 mandates, bolstered by gains for United Torah Judaism and the "Am Israel" party. The opposition bloc also reaches 51 mandates, with Yisrael Beiteinu dropping to 8 seats, leaving the election outcome uncertain.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • A new Maariv poll shows the Likud party losing two mandates, dropping to 18 seats.
  • Arab parties collectively gain one mandate each, reaching a record 14 seats.
  • The governing coalition bloc is projected to secure 51 mandates.
  • The opposition bloc also reaches 51 mandates, with Yisrael Beiteinu dropping to 8 seats.
  • United Torah Judaism gains a mandate to reach 8 seats.
  • The "Am Israel" party is projected to cross the electoral threshold with 4 mandates.

A new poll released by Maariv indicates a decline in support for Prime Minister Netanyahu's Likud party, just as the race for the 26th Knesset approaches its decisive moments. The survey shows the Likud party losing two mandates, dropping to 18 seats. Concurrently, Arab parties are experiencing a surge, with each gaining one mandate, bringing their combined total to a record 14 seats.

Despite the Likud's weakening, the governing coalition's bloc is projected to lose only one mandate, reaching a total of 51 seats. This resilience is attributed to the strengthening of United Torah Judaism, which gains a mandate to reach 8 seats, and the success of the "Am Israel" party in crossing the electoral threshold with 4 mandates.

On the opposition side, the bloc of Zionist opposition parties has weakened by one mandate, with Yisrael Beiteinu dropping to 8 seats. As a result of these shifts, both the coalition and opposition blocs are projected to achieve an identical 51 mandates, leaving the political system without a clear outcome ahead of election day.

The full mandate breakdown from the poll is as follows: Yesh Atid 21, Likud 18, "B" 13, Democrats 9, Yisrael Beiteinu 8, Otzma Yehudit 8, Joint List 8, United Torah Judaism 8, Shas 7, Religious Zionism and "Shehut" 6, Ra'am 6, "HaMiluimnikim VeHaKalkalit" 4, and Am Israel 4.

KipaRight · Jerusalem

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