The Knesset Election, 27 October 2026
- 120 seats
- 61 for a majority
- 3.25% threshold
The blocs in the poll average
- Arab parties12.812–14 in these polls
- Opposition bloc50.445–54 in these polls
- Other lists2.60–5 in these polls
- Netanyahu's bloc54.449–63 in these polls
Where every list stands
Each dot is one poll in the average. The band runs from the lowest to the highest figure; the tick and the number are the plain average.
- LikudBenjamin Netanyahu22.419–31
- YasharGadi Eisenkot21.621–23
- TogetherNaftali Bennett11.49–14
- DemocratsYair Golan9.18–11
- Yisrael BeytenuAvigdor Liberman8.36–10
- ShasAryeh Deri7.97–10
- Joint List7.87–9
- UTJ7.87–8
- Jewish PowerItamar Ben-Gvir7.66–9
- Rel. ZionismBezalel Smotrich5.95–7
- Ra'amMansour Abbas5all 5
- Amcha YisraelOfer Winter2.80–5
- ReservistsYoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha2.60–5
Poll by poll
The polls in the average, newest first, with the average beside them. On a narrow screen, swipe sideways; the list names stay put.
| List | Average8 polls | N125 Oct | Kan News4 Oct | Maariv2 Oct | Zman Yisrael1 Oct | i24NEWS1 Oct | Channel 1330 Sept | Channel 1629 Sept | Channel 1428 Sept |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likud | 22.4 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 28 | 19 | 19 | 31 |
| Yashar | 21.6 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| Together | 11.4 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| Democrats | 9.1 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| Yisrael Beytenu | 8.3 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Shas | 7.9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| Joint List | 7.8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| UTJ | 7.8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| Jewish Power | 7.6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| Rel. Zionism | 5.9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| Ra'am | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Amcha Yisrael | 2.8 | – | – | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | – |
| Reservists | 2.6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 4 | – |
| Netanyahu's bloc | 54.4 | 49 | 51 | 51 | 53 | 60 | 54 | 53 | 63 |
| Opposition bloc | 50.4 | 54 | 52 | 53 | 49 | 47 | 52 | 51 | 45 |
| Arab parties | 12.8 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| Other lists | 2.6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
– under the threshold · not named in the report. Bloc rows are our count from each list’s camp; a partial report has none.
Every poll in the last 30 days
15 polls from 8 outlets
- N125 OctIn the averageOpp. 54 · Arab 13 · Other 4Netanyahu 49
- Yashar 23
- Likud 21
- Together 13
- Democrats 9
- Yisrael Beytenu 9
- UTJ 8
- Joint List 8
- Shas 7
- Jewish Power 7
- Rel. Zionism 6
- Ra'am 5
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 49 · Opposition bloc 54 · Arab parties 13 · Other lists 4
N12's own count: מפלגות האופוזיציה 54 · מפלגות הקואליציה 49 · המפלגות הערביות (Arab parties) 13
Under the threshold: Amcha Yisrael 1.5% · Haredi Public 0.6% · Blue and White 0.5% · Noam 0.2%
- Kan Newsמכון קנטאר בראשות דודי חסיד4 Oct · 554 askedIn the averageOpp. 52 · Arab 13 · Other 4Netanyahu 51
- Yashar 23
- Likud 21
- Together 12
- Yisrael Beytenu 9
- UTJ 8
- Shas 8
- Jewish Power 8
- Democrats 8
- Joint List 8
- Rel. Zionism 6
- Ra'am 5
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 51 · Opposition bloc 52 · Arab parties 13 · Other lists 4
Kan News's own count: גוש איזנקוט 52 · גוש נתניהו (Netanyahu bloc) 51 · מפלגות ערביות 13 · הנדל וזליכה 4
Under the threshold: Amcha Yisrael
- Maariv2 OctIn the averageOpp. 53 · Arab 12 · Other 4Netanyahu 51
- Yashar 21
- Likud 19
- Together 13
- Democrats 10
- Jewish Power 9
- Yisrael Beytenu 9
- UTJ 7
- Shas 7
- Joint List 7
- Ra'am 5
- Rel. Zionism 5
- Amcha Yisrael 4
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 51 · Opposition bloc 53 · Arab parties 12 · Other lists 4
Maariv's own count: גוש הקואליציה 51 · גוש האופוזיציה הציונית 53 · מפלגות ערביות 12
Under the threshold: Blue and White 0.7% · Haredi Public 0.6% · Noam 0.4%
- Zman Yisraelטאטיקה מחקרים ומדיה1 OctIn the averageOpp. 49 · Arab 13 · Other 5Netanyahu 53
- Likud 21
- Yashar 21
- Together 10
- Yisrael Beytenu 10
- Shas 9
- UTJ 8
- Democrats 8
- Joint List 8
- Jewish Power 6
- Ra'am 5
- Rel. Zionism 5
- Reservists 5
- Amcha Yisrael 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 53 · Opposition bloc 49 · Arab parties 13 · Other lists 5
- i24NEWSדיירקט פולס1 Oct · 504 asked · ±4.3%In the averageOpp. 47 · Arab 13Netanyahu 60
- Likud 28
- Yashar 22
- Together 9
- Democrats 9
- UTJ 8
- Jewish Power 8
- Joint List 8
- Shas 7
- Yisrael Beytenu 7
- Ra'am 5
- Rel. Zionism 5
- Amcha Yisrael 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 60 · Opposition bloc 47 · Arab parties 13 · Other lists 0
Under the threshold: Reservists 1.8% · Blue and White · Haredi Public
- Channel 1330 SeptIn the averageOpp. 52 · Arab 14Netanyahu 54
- Yashar 21
- Likud 19
- Together 11
- Democrats 11
- Joint List 9
- Yisrael Beytenu 9
- UTJ 8
- Jewish Power 8
- Shas 7
- Rel. Zionism 7
- Ra'am 5
- Amcha Yisrael 5
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 54 · Opposition bloc 52 · Arab parties 14 · Other lists 0
Channel 13's own count: גוש נתניהו (Netanyahu bloc) 54 · גוש האופוזיציה (opposition bloc) 52 · המפלגות הערביות (Arab parties) 14
Under the threshold: Reservists
- Channel 1629 SeptIn the averageOpp. 51 · Arab 12 · Other 4Netanyahu 53
- Yashar 21
- Likud 19
- Together 14
- Democrats 9
- Shas 8
- Jewish Power 8
- UTJ 7
- Joint List 7
- Yisrael Beytenu 7
- Rel. Zionism 6
- Ra'am 5
- Amcha Yisrael 5
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 53 · Opposition bloc 51 · Arab parties 12 · Other lists 4
- Channel 14NEXT DATA28 Sept · 573 askedIn the averageOpp. 45 · Arab 12Netanyahu 63
- Likud 31
- Yashar 21
- Shas 10
- Together 9
- Democrats 9
- UTJ 8
- Jewish Power 7
- Rel. Zionism 7
- Joint List 7
- Yisrael Beytenu 6
- Ra'am 5
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 63 · Opposition bloc 45 · Arab parties 12 · Other lists 0
Channel 14's own count: גוש הימין (right-wing bloc) 63 · גוש השמאל (left-wing bloc) 45 · המפלגות הערביות (Arab parties) 12
Under the threshold: Reservists 2.1% · Amcha Yisrael 1.6% · Blue and White 0.6% · Haredi Public 0.2% · Noam 0.2%
- Kan Newsקנטאר27 SeptNewer poll aboveOpp. 52 · Arab 12 · Other 4Netanyahu 52
- Yashar 23
- Likud 21
- Together 11
- Democrats 9
- Yisrael Beytenu 9
- UTJ 7
- Shas 7
- Jewish Power 7
- Joint List 7
- Rel. Zionism 6
- Ra'am 5
- Amcha Yisrael 4
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 52 · Opposition bloc 52 · Arab parties 12 · Other lists 4
Kan News's own count: גוש הימין (right-wing bloc) 52 · גוש מתנגדי נתניהו 52
Under the threshold: Blue and White · Haredi Public · Noam
- Channel 1624 SeptOlder than 10 daysOpp. 52 · Arab 12 · Other 4Netanyahu 52
- Yashar 23
- Likud 19
- Together 13
- Jewish Power 9
- Shas 8
- Democrats 8
- Yisrael Beytenu 8
- UTJ 7
- Joint List 7
- Ra'am 5
- Rel. Zionism 5
- Amcha Yisrael 4
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 52 · Opposition bloc 52 · Arab parties 12 · Other lists 4
Channel 16's own count: גוש תומכי נתניהו 52 · גוש מתנגדי נתניהו 52 · המפלגות הערביות (Arab parties) 12
- i24NEWSדיירקט פולס24 Sept · 537 asked · ±4.2%Older than 10 daysOpp. 47 · Arab 13Netanyahu 60
- Likud 27
- Yashar 22
- Together 9
- Democrats 9
- UTJ 8
- Jewish Power 8
- Shas 7
- Joint List 7
- Yisrael Beytenu 7
- Ra'am 6
- Rel. Zionism 6
- Amcha Yisrael 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 60 · Opposition bloc 47 · Arab parties 13 · Other lists 0
i24NEWS's own count: גוש תומכי נתניהו 60
Under the threshold: Reservists 1.6% · Haredi Public · Blue and White
- Channel 1323 SeptPartial report
- Yashar 22
- Likud 18
- Together 11
- Rel. Zionism 6
- Amcha Yisrael 5
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Channel 13's own count: גוש מתנגדי נתניהו 52 · גוש תומכי נתניהו 51 · המפלגות הערביות (Arab parties) 13 · מפלגתם של יועז הנדל וירון זליכה 4
- N12מדגם ייעוץ ומחקר בראשות מנו גבע22 Sept · 501 asked · ±4.4%Older than 10 daysOpp. 54 · Arab 12 · Other 4Netanyahu 50
- Yashar 23
- Likud 20
- Together 13
- Democrats 9
- Yisrael Beytenu 9
- UTJ 8
- Shas 7
- Joint List 7
- Jewish Power 6
- Ra'am 5
- Rel. Zionism 5
- Amcha Yisrael 4
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 50 · Opposition bloc 54 · Arab parties 12 · Other lists 4
N12's own count: הגוש המתנגד לנתניהו 66 · הקואליציה (coalition) 50
Under the threshold: Blue and White 0.7% · Haredi Public 0.3% · Noam 0.1%
- Maarivלזר מחקרים בשיתוף Panel4ALL18 SeptOlder than 10 daysOpp. 54 · Arab 12 · Other 4Netanyahu 50
- Yashar 23
- Likud 18
- Together 13
- Democrats 9
- Yisrael Beytenu 9
- Jewish Power 8
- UTJ 7
- Shas 7
- Joint List 7
- Rel. Zionism 6
- Ra'am 5
- Amcha Yisrael 4
- Reservists 4
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 50 · Opposition bloc 54 · Arab parties 12 · Other lists 4
Maariv's own count: גוש הקואליציה 50
- i24NEWSדיירקט פולס17 Sept · 519 asked · ±4.2%Older than 10 daysOpp. 48 · Arab 12Netanyahu 60
- Likud 27
- Yashar 21
- Democrats 10
- Together 9
- UTJ 8
- Yisrael Beytenu 8
- Shas 7
- Jewish Power 7
- Joint List 7
- Rel. Zionism 6
- Ra'am 5
- Amcha Yisrael 5
Bloc counts and sources
Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 60 · Opposition bloc 48 · Arab parties 12 · Other lists 0
i24NEWS's own count: קואליציה 60
Under the threshold: Reservists 2.2% · Blue and White · Haredi Public · Noam
How to read this
The average is not a forecast. It is the plain mean of each outlet's latest complete poll from the last 10 days, and the polls disagree: each list's band runs from the fewest to the most seats any of those polls gave it.
The threshold. A list needs 3.25% of the vote to enter the Knesset, which comes to at least four seats. A poll that puts a list under the threshold counts it as zero, so an average can fall between one and three seats, which no list can actually win.
The bloc bar runs left to right the way the camps are usually drawn: the Arab parties, the opposition bloc, lists outside both camps, Netanyahu's bloc. The line in the middle is the majority: a camp whose seats cross it holds at least 61 of the 120. Outlets group some lists differently, so each poll also shows the outlet's own count in its own words.
On election night this page shows each broadcaster's exit poll as polls close at 22:00, then the committee's count, and checks for news every 30 seconds. Seats are shown as results only once the Central Elections Committee publishes its final count. A poll whose report gave only some lists is listed but left out of the average.