The Knesset Election, 27 October 2026
Every poll the Israeli press publishes, with the outlet's own figures and a plain average with ranges. On election night: each broadcaster's exit poll and the official count.
- Tuesday 27 October
- polls close 22:00
- 120 seats
- 61 for a majority
- 3.25% threshold
The blocs
- Arab parties12.512โ14 in these polls
- Opposition bloc50.145โ54 in these polls
- Other lists20โ4 in these polls
- Netanyahu's bloc55.450โ63 in these polls
Average of 6 polls: Channel 13 (30 Sept), Channel 16 (29 Sept), Channel 14 (28 Sept), Kan News (27 Sept), i24NEWS (24 Sept), N12 (22 Sept). The mean of each outlet's latest complete poll in the last 10 days.
The lists
Average seats. The thin line runs from the fewest to the most seats any of these polls gave the list.
4 seats: the fewest a list can win
The latest polls
Seats in the newest polls, newest first. Every poll's details are in the list below.
| List | Average | Channel 1330 Sept | Channel 1629 Sept | Channel 1428 SeptNEXT DATAn 573 | Kan News27 Septืงื ืืืจ | Channel 1624 Sept | i24NEWS24 Septืืืืจืงื ืคืืืกn 537ยฑ4.2% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likud | 22.8 | 19 | 19 | 31 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| Yashar | 21.8 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 |
| Together | 11.2 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| Democrats | 9.3 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| Yisrael Beytenu | 7.8 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| Shas | 7.7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| UTJ | 7.7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| Joint List | 7.3 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Jewish Power | 7.3 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| Rel. Zionism | 6.2 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| Ra'am | 5.2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| Amcha Yisrael | 3.7 | 5 | 5 | โ | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Reservists | 2 | โ | 4 | โ | 4 | 4 | โ |
| Netanyahu's bloc | 55.4 | 54 | 53 | 63 | 52 | 52 | 60 |
| Opposition bloc | 50.1 | 52 | 51 | 45 | 52 | 52 | 47 |
| Arab parties | 12.5 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| Other lists | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
โ under the threshold ยท not named in the report. Bloc rows are our count; a partial report has none.
Every poll in the last 30 days
- Channel 13In the averageYashar 21 ยท Likud 19 ยท Together 11 ยท Democrats 11 ยท Joint List 9 ยท Yisrael Beytenu 9 ยท UTJ 8 ยท Jewish Power 8 ยท Shas 7 ยท Rel. Zionism 7 ยท Ra'am 5 ยท Amcha Yisrael 5Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 54 ยท Opposition bloc 52 ยท Arab parties 14 ยท Other lists 0Channel 13's own count: ืืืฉ ื ืชื ืืื (Netanyahu bloc) 54 ยท ืืืฉ ืืืืคืืืืฆืื (opposition bloc) 52 ยท ืืืคืืืืช ืืขืจืืืืช (Arab parties) 14Under the threshold: Reservists ยท Reservists
- Channel 16In the averageYashar 21 ยท Likud 19 ยท Together 14 ยท Democrats 9 ยท Shas 8 ยท Jewish Power 8 ยท UTJ 7 ยท Joint List 7 ยท Yisrael Beytenu 7 ยท Rel. Zionism 6 ยท Ra'am 5 ยท Amcha Yisrael 5 ยท Reservists 4Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 53 ยท Opposition bloc 51 ยท Arab parties 12 ยท Other lists 4
- Channel 14NEXT DATAIn the averageLikud 31 ยท Yashar 21 ยท Shas 10 ยท Together 9 ยท Democrats 9 ยท UTJ 8 ยท Jewish Power 7 ยท Rel. Zionism 7 ยท Joint List 7 ยท Yisrael Beytenu 6 ยท Ra'am 5Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 63 ยท Opposition bloc 45 ยท Arab parties 12 ยท Other lists 0Channel 14's own count: ืืืฉ ืืืืื (right-wing bloc) 63 ยท ืืืฉ ืืฉืืื (left-wing bloc) 45 ยท ืืืคืืืืช ืืขืจืืืืช (Arab parties) 12Under the threshold: Reservists 2.1% ยท Amcha Yisrael 1.6% ยท Blue and White 0.6% ยท Haredi Public 0.2% ยท Noam 0.2%
- Kan Newsืงื ืืืจIn the averageYashar 23 ยท Likud 21 ยท Together 11 ยท Democrats 9 ยท Yisrael Beytenu 9 ยท UTJ 7 ยท Shas 7 ยท Jewish Power 7 ยท Joint List 7 ยท Rel. Zionism 6 ยท Ra'am 5 ยท Amcha Yisrael 4 ยท Reservists 4Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 52 ยท Opposition bloc 52 ยท Arab parties 12 ยท Other lists 4Kan News's own count: ืืืฉ ืืืืื (right-wing bloc) 52 ยท ืืืฉ ืืชื ืืื ื ืชื ืืื 52Under the threshold: Blue and White ยท Haredi Public ยท Noam
- Channel 16Not in the average: this outlet has a newer pollYashar 23 ยท Likud 19 ยท Together 13 ยท Jewish Power 9 ยท Shas 8 ยท Democrats 8 ยท Yisrael Beytenu 8 ยท UTJ 7 ยท Joint List 7 ยท Ra'am 5 ยท Rel. Zionism 5 ยท Amcha Yisrael 4 ยท Reservists 4Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 52 ยท Opposition bloc 52 ยท Arab parties 12 ยท Other lists 4Channel 16's own count: ืืืฉ ืชืืืื ื ืชื ืืื 52 ยท ืืืฉ ืืชื ืืื ื ืชื ืืื 52 ยท ืืืคืืืืช ืืขืจืืืืช (Arab parties) 12
- i24NEWSืืืืจืงื ืคืืืกIn the averageLikud 27 ยท Yashar 22 ยท Together 9 ยท Democrats 9 ยท UTJ 8 ยท Jewish Power 8 ยท Shas 7 ยท Joint List 7 ยท Yisrael Beytenu 7 ยท Ra'am 6 ยท Rel. Zionism 6 ยท Amcha Yisrael 4Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 60 ยท Opposition bloc 47 ยท Arab parties 13 ยท Other lists 0i24NEWS's own count: ืืืฉ ืชืืืื ื ืชื ืืื 60Under the threshold: Reservists 1.6% ยท Haredi Public ยท Blue and White
- Channel 13Partial: not in the averageYashar 22 ยท Likud 18 ยท Together 11 ยท Rel. Zionism 6 ยท Amcha Yisrael 5 ยท Reservists 4Channel 13's own count: ืืืฉ ืืชื ืืื ื ืชื ืืื 52 ยท ืืืฉ ืชืืืื ื ืชื ืืื 51 ยท ืืืคืืืืช ืืขืจืืืืช (Arab parties) 13 ยท ืืคืืืชื ืฉื ืืืขื ืื ืื ืืืจืื ืืืืื 4
- N12ืืืื ืืืขืืฅ ืืืืงืจ ืืจืืฉืืช ืื ื ืืืขIn the averageYashar 23 ยท Likud 20 ยท Together 13 ยท Democrats 9 ยท Yisrael Beytenu 9 ยท UTJ 8 ยท Shas 7 ยท Joint List 7 ยท Jewish Power 6 ยท Ra'am 5 ยท Rel. Zionism 5 ยท Amcha Yisrael 4 ยท Reservists 4Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 50 ยท Opposition bloc 54 ยท Arab parties 12 ยท Other lists 4N12's own count: ืืืืฉ ืืืชื ืื ืื ืชื ืืื 66 ยท ืืงืืืืืฆืื (coalition) 50Under the threshold: Blue and White 0.7% ยท Haredi Public 0.3% ยท Noam 0.1%
- Maarivืืืจ ืืืงืจืื ืืฉืืชืืฃ Panel4ALLNot in the average: older than 10 daysYashar 23 ยท Likud 18 ยท Together 13 ยท Democrats 9 ยท Yisrael Beytenu 9 ยท Jewish Power 8 ยท UTJ 7 ยท Shas 7 ยท Joint List 7 ยท Rel. Zionism 6 ยท Ra'am 5 ยท Amcha Yisrael 4 ยท Reservists 4Our bloc count: Netanyahu's bloc 50 ยท Opposition bloc 54 ยท Arab parties 12 ยท Other lists 4Maariv's own count: ืืืฉ ืืงืืืืืฆืื 50
How to read this
The average is the plain mean of each outlet's latest complete poll from the last 10 days. It is not a forecast, and the polls disagree: each list's bar is its average, and the thin line runs from the fewest to the most seats any of those polls gave it.
A list needs 3.25% of the vote to enter the Knesset, which comes to at least four seats. A poll that puts a list under the threshold counts it as zero, so an average can fall between one and three seats, which no list can actually win.
The bloc bar runs left to right the way the camps are usually drawn: the Arab parties, the opposition bloc, lists outside both camps, Netanyahu's bloc. The line in the middle is the majority: a camp whose seats cross it holds at least 61 of the 120. Outlets group some lists differently, so each poll also shows the outlet's own count in its own words.
A poll whose report gave only some lists is listed but left out of the average. On election night the exit polls are each broadcaster's own estimate, shown side by side. Seats are shown as results only once the Central Elections Committee publishes its final count.