Final Poll Shows Winter's Party Crossing Threshold, Coalition Gains Strength
Translated & summarized from i24NEWS by baba
A final pre-election poll by i24NEWS shows the coalition bloc gaining strength with 59 seats. Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party is projected to cross the electoral threshold with 4 seats. The Likud remains the largest party with 26 seats, while Yesh Atid follows with 21 seats. The poll surveyed 5,124 adults and has a margin of error of ±1.4%.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Final poll shows coalition bloc gaining strength with 59 seats ahead of elections.
- Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party projected to cross electoral threshold with 4 seats.
- Likud leads with 26 seats, followed by Yesh Atid with 21 seats.
- The Joint List strengthens to 9 seats, while Otzma Yehudit drops to 8.
- Poll of 5,124 adults has a margin of error of ±1.4%.
With four days remaining until the general election, a final poll released by i24NEWS, conducted by Direct Polls under Tzuriel Sharon, indicates a significant shift in the political landscape. The coalition bloc is projected to gain strength, reaching 59 seats, while Ofer Winter's new party, "Amcha Israel," is predicted to cross the electoral threshold. The Joint List also shows further strengthening.
The Likud party maintains its leading position, securing 26 seats, consistent with the previous i24NEWS poll. Yesh Atid, led by Gadi Eisenkot, moves to second place with 21 seats, an increase of one seat. Bennett's party remains stable with 12 seats. The Joint List gains one seat, reaching 9 seats, while Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, drops one seat to 8. Shas and the Democrats also hold 8 seats, with the latter losing one seat. Yahadut HaTorah and the Religious Zionism and Identity parties each receive 6 seats, a decrease of one seat for both. Yisrael Beiteinu also drops one seat to 6. Ra'am loses a seat to the Joint List, finishing with 5 seats.
Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party is projected to secure 4 seats, successfully crossing the electoral threshold after failing to do so in the two previous polls. Parties not expected to cross the threshold include "HaMiluimnikim" and "HaKalkalit" with 2.2% of the vote. Parties receiving less than 1% include Black Color, Haredi Public, Achi, and Noam LeYisrael.
In terms of blocs, the Netanyahu bloc is projected to receive 59 seats, an increase of one seat from the prior poll. The Eisenkot bloc is projected to receive 47 seats, a decrease of one seat. The bloc of Arab parties remains unchanged with 14 seats.
The poll surveyed 5,124 adults aged 18 and over, representing a sample of the general Israeli population. The margin of error is ±1.4% with 95% probability. The data was collected and processed by Direct Polls Ltd. on October 22, 2026.
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