Poll Shows New Party Falls Below Knesset Threshold, Shifting Bloc Totals
Translated & summarized from Channel 13 by baba
A new poll shows Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party failing to pass the electoral threshold, causing the coalition bloc to lose a seat and the opposition bloc to gain one. Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu in preferred Prime Minister polls, and a majority of Israelis fear damage to the democratic process. The poll surveyed 1,084 respondents.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party fell below the electoral threshold in a new poll.
- The coalition bloc lost a seat, dropping to 49 mandates, while the opposition bloc gained one to 52.
- Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu in preferred Prime Minister polls.
- A majority of Israelis, 59%, fear damage to the democratic process.
- The "HaMeyumalim" party, with 4 mandates, could be a kingmaker.
- The poll surveyed 1,084 respondents with a 3% margin of error.
A new poll released by Channel 13 just six days before elections indicates that the "Amcha Israel" party, led by Ofer Winter, has fallen below the electoral threshold. The party, which previously garnered 4 seats, now stands at 3.2% of the vote, failing to enter the Knesset. This development is expected to significantly impact the election results.
As a consequence of "Amcha Israel's" exclusion, the coalition bloc loses a seat, reducing its total to 49 mandates. Conversely, the "change bloc" gains a mandate, increasing its total to 52 seats. The "Yashar" party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, remains the largest party with 20 mandates. The Likud party, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, strengthens by one seat to 19 mandates, while Naftali Bennett's "Achva" party holds steady with 14 mandates.
Yair Golan's "Democrats" solidify their position as the fourth-largest party, gaining a seat for a total of 10 mandates. The Joint List maintains its 9 mandates. The Religious Zionism party, led by Bezalel Smotrich, and United Torah Judaism each gain a seat, reaching 8 mandates, matching Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu. Otzma Yehudit and Shas each retain their 7 mandates, and Ra'am remains with 6 mandates.
The "HaMeyumalim" party, led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha, crosses the electoral threshold with 4 mandates (3.6%), positioning them as potential kingmakers. The Arab parties collectively hold 15 mandates. The opposition bloc, led by Eisenkot, has 52 mandates, while Netanyahu's coalition bloc has only 49.
In head-to-head matchups for Prime Minister, Eisenkot leads Netanyahu 46% to 38%, with 16% undecided. Among coalition voters, Netanyahu enjoys 86% support versus 5% for Eisenkot. Among opposition voters, Eisenkot leads 78% to 6% for Netanyahu. Regarding the conscription crisis, 49% trust an Eisenkot-led coalition, compared to 27% for a Netanyahu-led coalition. Secular and traditional voters lean towards Eisenkot on this issue, while religious and ultra-Orthodox voters favor Netanyahu.
A concerning finding from the poll reveals that 59% of Israelis fear damage to the democratic process, with 24% expressing strong concern. Conversely, 36% do not fear such damage. This concern is more pronounced among opposition voters (66%) than coalition voters (50%). The poll surveyed 1,084 respondents with a 3% margin of error.
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