Two Polls Show Ofer Winter's Party Failing to Pass Israeli Election Threshold
Translated & summarized from Kikar HaShabbat by baba
Two new polls released on October 18, 2026, indicate that Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party will not pass the electoral threshold in the upcoming 2026 elections. The i24NEWS poll shows the party at 2.9% of the vote, while Kan News does not list it at all. The polls suggest a close race between the "Yashar!" party and the Likud, with bloc calculations showing a tight contest.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party is projected to fall below the electoral threshold in two new polls.
- The i24NEWS poll shows "Amcha Israel" with 2.9% of the vote, while Kan News does not list it.
- The Kan News poll projects "Yashar!" with 23 mandates and Likud with 21 mandates.
- The i24NEWS poll projects Likud with 25 mandates and "Yashar!" with 21 mandates.
- Bloc calculations in the Kan News poll show a narrow 52-51 lead for the "Izankot bloc" over the "Netanyahu bloc."
With just over a week until the 2026 elections, two new polls released on October 18, 2026, indicate that the "Amcha Israel" party, led by Ofer Winter, will not cross the electoral threshold. A poll by i24NEWS shows the party at a low of 2.9% of the vote, while a poll by Kan News does not show the party appearing on the seat distribution map at all. The seat distribution and bloc calculations in both polls suggest a close and complex race as the election campaign enters its final stretch.
The Kan News poll, conducted by Kantar under Dudi Hassid, places the "Yashar!" party in the lead with 23 mandates. The Likud follows with 21 mandates. The bloc breakdown shows the "Izankot bloc" with 52 mandates and the "Netanyahu bloc" with 51 mandates. Arab parties collectively hold 13 mandates.
The i24NEWS poll, conducted by Direct Polls under Tzuriel Sharon, shows the Likud in first place with 25 mandates, followed by "Yashar!" with 21 mandates. In this poll, "Amcha Israel" is listed with 2.9% of the vote, falling below the electoral threshold. Other parties also failing to pass the threshold include "HaMiluimnikim VeHaKalkalit" at 2.4%, and several others like "Tzeva Shachor," "Kahol Lavan," and "Noam LeYisrael."
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