New Poll Shows Ofer Vinter's Party Failing to Cross Election Threshold
Translated & summarized from i24NEWS by baba
A new i24NEWS poll shows Ofer Vinter's "Amcha" party failing to cross the electoral threshold with just two weeks until the 2026 Knesset elections. The survey, conducted by Direct Polls, indicates Vinter's party received 3.1% of the vote, below the 3.25% requirement. The Likud party leads with 27 seats, followed by Gadi Eisenkot's party with 21 seats, and Naftali Bennett's "Yachad" with 13 seats. The coalition bloc's projected seat count has decreased due to Vinter's decline.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Ofer Vinter's "Amcha" party is projected to fall short of the electoral threshold in the upcoming 2026 Knesset elections.
- The latest i24NEWS poll shows Likud leading with 27 seats, followed by Gadi Eisenkot's party with 21 seats.
- Naftali Bennett's "Yachad" party gained two seats, reaching 13 seats in the new poll.
- Itamar Ben-Gvir's "Otzma Yehudit" and Yair Golan's "HaDemocratim" parties are each projected to win 9 seats.
- The coalition bloc's projected seat count has dropped to 57 seats following Vinter's decline.
- The poll was conducted by Direct Polls for i24NEWS on October 13, 2026, with a margin of error of ±2.8%.
A dramatic new poll released by i24NEWS, conducted by Direct Polls and headed by Tzuriiel Sharon, indicates that Ofer Vinter's "Amcha" party will not pass the electoral threshold in the upcoming 2026 Knesset elections, despite previously polling at four seats. The survey, released two weeks before the election, shows Vinter's party receiving only 3.1% of the vote, falling short of the 3.25% required to enter the Knesset.
If elections were held today, the Likud party would secure 27 seats, a gain of one seat from the previous week's poll. Gadi Eisenkot's party follows with 21 seats, also up by one. Naftali Bennett's "Yachad" party shows significant growth, gaining two seats to reach 13. Itamar Ben-Gvir's "Otzma Yehudit" and Yair Golan's "HaDemocratim" parties each receive 9 seats, with Golan's party down one seat from last week.
Among the Haredi parties, United Torah Judaism remains stable with 8 seats, and Shas holds 7 seats. Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu also maintains 7 seats, as does the Joint List. Ra'am sees a one-seat increase, reaching 6 seats, while the Religious Zionism and Identity parties together secure 6 seats.
The poll also shows that the "Miloimnikim" and "HaKalkalit" parties, along with Vinter's "Amcha," will not pass the threshold, receiving only 2.2% of the vote. Parties like Blue and White, Tzeva Shachor, Noam LeYisrael, Achi, HaTzibur HaHaredi, and Yisrael Tfila-Aleh Yarok received less than 1% of the vote.
The shift in Vinter's numbers is attributed to the Netanyahu campaign's strategy of targeting Vinter, potentially drawing votes away from the right-wing bloc. This has impacted the bloc's overall seat count, with the coalition bloc now projected to receive 57 seats, down from 60 in the prior poll. The "change bloc" is up to 50 seats, and Arab parties collectively hold 13 seats, an increase of one seat.
The survey was conducted on October 13, 2026, by Direct Polls Ltd. under the leadership of Tzuriiel Sharon for i24NEWS, using a digital system combined with a panel of 1,210 adult respondents representing the general Israeli population. The statistical margin of error is ±2.8% with 95% probability.
Mentioned
