New Poll Shows Likud Weakening, Arab Parties Gaining
Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba
A new Maariv poll shows the Likud party weakening to 18 mandates, while "Yesh!" leads with 21 mandates and Arab parties gain significant support. The survey indicates 79% of Israelis are optimistic about their bloc winning elections. In the event of no clear winner, 55% of Israelis prefer a unity government, though bloc supporters have differing conditions for such an arrangement.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- A new Maariv poll shows the Likud party losing strength, securing 18 mandates.
- The "Yesh!" party leads the poll with 21 mandates, followed by "B" with 13.
- Arab parties collectively gained significant support, with the joint list securing 8 mandates.
- 79% of Israelis are optimistic about their preferred bloc winning the upcoming elections.
- 55% of Israelis would prefer a unity government if no bloc wins decisively.
- Opposition voters favor a unity government only if led by a "change bloc" leader.
A new poll conducted by Maariv indicates a significant shift in the Israeli political landscape, with the Likud party losing ground and Arab parties experiencing a dramatic surge. The survey, conducted between October 14-15, shows the Likud dropping to 18 mandates, while "Yesh!" leads with 21 mandates. The "B" party follows with 13 mandates, and "The Democrats" with 9. Notably, the joint list of Arab parties, along with "Otzma Yehudit," "Yisrael Beiteinu," and "Yahadut HaTorah," each garnered 8 mandates. "Shas" received 7 mandates, "Religious Zionism" and "Ra'am" 6 each, and "Am Israel" and "HaMeyuladim VeHaKalkalit" both secured 4 mandates. Several parties, including "Blue and White" and "HaTzibur HaHaredi," failed to pass the electoral threshold.
The poll also revealed that 79% of Israelis are optimistic about their preferred bloc winning the upcoming elections, with 90% of coalition voters expressing this sentiment compared to 75% of opposition voters. When asked about their preference in the event of no clear victor, 55% of Israelis favored a unity government. However, preferences diverge between the blocs: a majority of opposition voters (54%) would accept a unity government only if led by a "change bloc" leader. Coalition voters are divided, with 36% preferring a unity government led by Benjamin Netanyahu and 32% favoring new elections.
The survey sampled 700 respondents aged 18 and above, representing the general population of Israel, and has a maximum margin of error of 3.7%. It was conducted using standard statistical methods, including stratified sampling and random sampling within strata, via the Panel4ALL online respondent panel.
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