New Polls Show Opposition Party Leading Ahead of Israeli Elections
Translated & summarized from Cursorinfo by baba
Two Israeli opinion polls show Gadi Eisenkot's opposition party leading Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud ahead of early parliamentary elections. The "Yashar" party is projected to win more seats than "Likud" in both surveys, which also indicate a preference for Eisenkot as prime minister. High voter turnout is expected, with opposition supporters showing greater intent to vote. The polls suggest a potential shift in the balance of power in the Knesset.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads Benjamin Netanyahu's "Likud" in two new Israeli election polls.
- Polls predict "Yashar" could win 23 seats and "Likud" 19 seats, with opposition bloc gaining majority.
- Gadi Eisenkot is preferred as prime minister over Benjamin Netanyahu by 44% to 33% in one poll.
- High voter turnout is expected, with 82% of opposition supporters intending to vote.
- Naftali Bennett's "Bayahad" bloc is projected to secure 15 seats in one of the surveys.
- One poll suggests Ofer Vinter's "Amcha Israel" party will not pass the electoral threshold.
Two recent opinion polls released by Israeli television channels indicate a shift in the political landscape ahead of early parliamentary elections, with the opposition party led by Gadi Eisenkot emerging as the frontrunner. The polls, from Channel 12 and Channel 13, suggest that Eisenkot's "Yashar" party could become the largest faction in the Knesset, while Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's "Likud" party is losing ground.
According to a "Midgam" poll for Channel 12, "Yashar" is projected to win 23 seats, followed by "Likud" with 19 seats. Naftali Bennett's "Bayahad" bloc is in third place with 15 seats. The poll also detailed the projected seat allocations for several other parties, including "Democratim" and the United List (9 seats each), Shas and Yisrael Beiteinu (8 seats each), Otzma Yehudit and Yahadut HaTorah (7 seats each), Religious Zionism (6 seats), Ra'am (5 seats), and Amcha Israel (4 seats). Under this scenario, the opposition bloc would secure 69 seats, compared to 51 for Netanyahu's bloc.
A separate poll by "Madad" for Channel 13, while confirming the general trend of Yashar's lead, offered slightly different figures. This survey predicted "Yashar" with 20 seats and "Likud" with 19, followed by "Bayahad" with 14. A key difference noted was the fate of smaller parties, with Ofer Vinter's "Amcha Israel" failing to pass the electoral threshold, while the "Miluimnikim"-"Kalkalit" list would gain 4 seats. This poll indicated a 52-seat advantage for Eisenkot's bloc against the current coalition's 49 seats, with Arab parties taking 15 seats.
Both surveys also showed a preference for Eisenkot as the preferred prime minister. Channel 12's poll found 44% favored Eisenkot over Netanyahu's 33%, while Channel 13 reported 46% for Eisenkot and 38% for Netanyahu. Furthermore, 49% of respondents in the Channel 13 poll believed an Eisenkot-led government would be more effective in resolving the crisis surrounding the conscription of ultra-Orthodox men.
High voter turnout is anticipated, with around 75% of Israelis expected to vote. The opposition electorate shows a greater readiness to participate, with 82% of their supporters indicating they will vote, compared to 76% of Netanyahu's supporters.
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