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Ongoing Story· Day 46

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

103 developments

Channel 13Politics

Poll Shows Eisenkot's Party Leading, Netanyahu Bloc Trailing

Translated & summarized from Channel 13 by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashr" party leading with 20 seats, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud with 18. The opposition bloc has 51 seats versus the coalition's 50. In a prime ministerial preference, Eisenkot is favored over Netanyahu. If no government can be formed, a majority prefers new elections over a unity government.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashr" party leads with 20 seats in a new election poll.
  • Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party is second with 18 seats.
  • The opposition bloc holds 51 seats, while the coalition has 50.
  • 46% of respondents prefer Eisenkot as prime minister, compared to 38% for Netanyahu.
  • A majority of 52% would prefer new elections if no government can be formed.
  • 47% distrust the government's decision-making regarding potential pre-election war.

A new poll indicates that if elections were held today, Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashr" party would be the largest with 20 seats, while Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud would secure 18 seats. Naftali Bennett's party is projected to gain seats, rising from 12 to 14, and Yair Golan's Democrats would maintain 9 seats, as would the Joint List.

Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu is predicted to drop one seat to 8. The Religious Zionism party, led by Bezalel Smotrich, is strengthening to 7 seats, tying with Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit and also with Shas. Mansour Abbas's Ra'am party is polling at 6 seats.

Two new parties, Ofer Winter's "Am Yisrael" and the "Economic Reservists" led by Hendel and Zelicha, are projected to surpass the electoral threshold, each receiving 4 seats. The poll was conducted before Benny Gantz's withdrawal from the government, which did not help his party pass the threshold, nor did the Haredi party.

The bloc supporting Eisenkot as opposition leader holds 51 seats, while Netanyahu's coalition has 50. Arab parties command 15 seats, and Hendel and Zelicha's party has 4. Looking at the broader picture, anti-Netanyahu forces have 70 seats compared to 50 for his supporters.

In a head-to-head comparison for prime minister, 46% preferred Eisenkot, while 38% chose Netanyahu, with 16% undecided. Regarding preferred government types, 33% favored a unity government, 31% a "full right-wing" government, and 23% a "full opposition" government.

If no bloc can form a government, 52% prefer new elections, while 32% would opt for a rotation government between Eisenkot and Netanyahu. When asked about trust in the government's decision-making if a war were to break out before elections, 47% expressed distrust, viewing it as a political move, while only 33% trusted the government's judgment. The poll surveyed 1,016 respondents with a 3.1% margin of error.

Channel 13Centre · Tel Aviv

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