Poll Shows Eisenkot's Party Leading Likud, Neither Bloc Reaching Majority
Translated & summarized from Al-Shams by baba
A poll by Israel's Walla newspaper shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar party leading with 22 seats, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud with 20. Neither the coalition nor opposition blocs are projected to reach the 61 seats needed to form a government. The survey, conducted by Lazar Research Institute, highlights varying levels of voter confidence across parties, with the Joint List showing the highest and Naftali Bennett's Together party the lowest. The results suggest potential political maneuvering for government formation.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar party leads a new poll with 22 seats, surpassing Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud at 20.
- Neither the coalition nor opposition blocs are projected to win the 61 seats required to form a government.
- Naftali Bennett's Together party received 13 seats, while Yair Golan's Democrats secured 10 seats.
- Several parties, including Otzma Yehudit and the Joint List, are projected to win 8 seats each.
- Voter confidence levels vary significantly, with the Joint List showing the highest and Together the lowest.
- The poll of 601 Israelis has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.
A poll published by the Israeli newspaper Walla on Monday, October 12, indicates that the Yishar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, would win 22 seats, while Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party would secure 20 seats. The Together party, headed by Naftali Bennett, is projected to receive 13 seats. The survey, conducted by the Lazar Research Institute, also shows the Democrats party led by Yair Golan obtaining 10 seats, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party securing 9 seats.
Other parties projected to cross the electoral threshold include Otzma Yehudit (8 seats), Yahadut HaTorah (8 seats), the Joint List (8 seats), Shas (7 seats), Religious Zionism-Identity (6 seats), and the United Arab List (5 seats). The Reserve Soldiers and Economy party, led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha, is expected to win 4 seats. Parties failing to cross the threshold include Amcha Israel (2.8%), Blue and White (1.1%), the Haredi Public party (1%), and Noam for Israel (0.2%).
Neither the current coalition bloc nor the opposition bloc is projected to achieve the 61 seats necessary to form a government. The coalition bloc is estimated to win 49 seats, while the opposition would gain 54. The seats for Hendel and Zelicha's party and the Arab parties are counted separately, totaling 13 seats for the latter. This outcome leaves the formation of the next government open to various political collaborations.
The poll also explored voter confidence. Among supporters of parties that crossed the threshold, 45% expressed complete confidence in their vote, 49% were highly confident, and 6% were not very confident. Confidence levels differed between the blocs, with 54% of coalition supporters reporting complete confidence compared to 35% of opposition supporters. The pollsters suggested this might reflect hesitation or potential shifts within blocs rather than between them.
The Joint List recorded the highest percentage of fully confident voters at 81%, followed by Likud (68%) and Religious Zionism-Identity (62%). The Together party showed the lowest levels of complete confidence, with only 23% of its supporters fully confident, while 72% were highly confident. For the Hendel and Zelicha party, 28% were fully confident, and 59% highly confident.
The survey included 601 participants aged 18 and over, with a maximum margin of error of 4 percentage points.
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