Full coverage· Politics· Updated 21:40

Betting Market Favors Eisenkot Over Netanyahu for Israeli Prime Minister

The Polymarket prediction market shows Gadi Eisenkot with a 48% chance of becoming Israel's next prime minister, significantly ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 28%. The total trading volume has reached $46.5 million, with 12 days left until the election.

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What happened

01Gadi Eisenkot is favored to become Israel's next prime minister with a 48% probability on Polymarket.
02Benjamin Netanyahu is projected to have a 28% chance, while Naftali Bennett is at 16% and Avigdor Lieberman at 3%.
03The total trading volume on Israeli prime minister contracts on Polymarket has reached $46.5 million.
04The prediction market's accuracy has been mixed in past elections, including US presidential and Brexit votes.
05Polls show Eisenkot's party leading, but the current coalition parties are projected to fall short of a majority.

While polls suggest a different distribution of party mandates, the betting market's accuracy has been inconsistent in past global elections. Trading on Polymarket involves financial risk based on predicted outcomes.

Translated and summarized by baba from N12, the latest report. Read N12’s original