Trooper and Handel Pass Threshold as Change Bloc Tops 60 Seats in Latest Israeli Poll

A new poll published on July 27, 2026, by Channel 12 News reveals that if elections were held today, the party led by Gadi Eizenkot, Yisra, would be the largest in Israel with 23 seats, one less than last week’s survey. The Likud, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, follows closely with 22 seats, also down by one. The Yachdut party under Naftali Bennett holds 14 seats, and the Democrats led by Yair Golan have 10 seats, both losing one seat compared to the previous poll.

Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu maintains its strength with 9 seats, unchanged from before. Shas, United Torah Judaism, and Otzma Yehudit each hold steady at 8 seats. The Joint List and Ra’am each receive 5 seats, while Religious Zionism, led by Bezalel Smotrich, has 4 seats. Notably, the party of Hili Trooper and Yoaz Hendel, Beit Tzioni, crosses the electoral threshold for the first time.

Parties below the threshold include Blue and White with 1.6% and Balad with 1.2%. The anti-Netanyahu bloc, boosted by Trooper and Hendel’s entry, rises to 70 seats, with Zionist opposition parties reaching 60 seats for the first time. Coalition parties hold 50 seats.

The poll also explored a hypothetical merger of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad, which would gain 6 seats, one more than running separately, while Ra’am would drop to 4 seats. This scenario would slightly weaken Likud and strengthen Otzma Yehudit, but overall bloc distributions remain stable.

Regarding prime minister preference, both Eizenkot and Netanyahu have equal 38% support, while Netanyahu leads Bennett 40% to 34%, and beats Lieberman 39% to 25%. About 9.8% of voters remain undecided, with 44% of those who changed their vote citing dissatisfaction with party performance, and 29% influenced by the October 7 war. Security and war management are the top issues for 32% of voters, followed by the economy (25%), social division (15%), personal security (12%), and bloc leadership (12%).

The poll was conducted by Meno Geva’s Consulting and Research on July 27, 2026, with a representative sample of 509 respondents aged 18 and over, using internet and telephone methods, with a margin of error of ±4.4%.