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Ongoing Story· Day 22

Haaretz Analyst Outlines Four Scenarios for Israeli Government Formation

3 developments

Now 14Politics

Israel Faces Potential New Elections Amid Political Stalemate

Translated & summarized from Now 14 by baba

RightNeutral tone

Hebrew · 1 newsroom

Israel is voting in the 26th Knesset elections, with a significant possibility of political deadlock leading to new elections. Polls show no clear majority for either bloc, and coalition negotiations could fail. The constitutional process allows up to 70 days for government formation after elections, but if unsuccessful, new elections must be held within 90 days.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Israel is holding its 26th Knesset elections amid fears of a political stalemate.
  • Polls indicate no clear majority for any bloc, raising concerns about coalition formation.
  • The constitutional process allows up to 70 days for a candidate to form a government.
  • Failure to form a government could lead to the Knesset's dissolution.
  • New elections would need to be held within 90 days if a government is not formed.
Israel Faces Potential New Elections Amid Political Stalemate
Editorial illustration generated by baba News, not a photograph of the event.

Israel is heading to the polls for the 26th Knesset elections, but a scenario looms where the political deadlock could lead to another round of elections. Despite the current vote, the political system is preparing for the possibility that no bloc will secure a majority, coalition talks will fail, and the Knesset will be dissolved, triggering new elections.

This situation is familiar to Israelis, who experienced five elections between 2019 and 2022 due to difficulties in forming a government. Mutual boycotts and significant gaps between parties are fueling concerns of a return to political paralysis.

Recent polls offer conflicting predictions for the seat distribution, with some showing the Netanyahu bloc close to a 61-seat majority and others placing them far from it. A failure to form a government could occur if small parties don't pass the electoral threshold, if no bloc achieves a majority, or if parties refuse to cooperate despite the possibility of forming a majority.

However, election results do not automatically lead to repeat elections. The law outlines a constitutional process to allow for government formation before Knesset dissolution. Initially, after election results are published, the President has 42 days to task a Knesset member with forming a government. This candidate has 28 days, with a possible 14-day extension, to negotiate a coalition. If this attempt fails, the President can task a different Knesset member for another 28 days without an extension.

If the second attempt also fails, a 21-day period begins where at least 61 Knesset members can petition the President to task a specific member with forming a government, who then has 14 days. If no candidate secures a majority within these timelines, the Knesset is considered dissolved, and new elections must be held within 90 days. The outgoing government continues to serve until a new one is formed, potentially prolonging the political uncertainty for weeks after election night.

Now 14Right · Jerusalem

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