Poll Shows Coalition Weakening to 50 Seats, Bennett Gains Ahead of Election
Translated & summarized from Kan News by baba
A new poll shows the Israeli coalition government weakening to 50 seats, while Naftali Bennett's party gains to 14 seats, just four days before the election. Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett are now tied in suitability for prime minister at 38% each. Voter turnout confidence is higher among opposition supporters, and undecided voters have increased. The public is divided on the security situation, and respondents expressed varied preferences for government formation if no bloc reaches 61 seats.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Coalition government projected to win 50 seats, down from 51, in latest pre-election poll.
- Naftali Bennett's party gains two seats to 14, tying Netanyahu in prime minister suitability.
- Gush Izencot bloc remains unchanged at 52 seats, leading Netanyahu in prime minister preference.
- Undecided voters increase to 36%, with opposition supporters more confident about voting.
- A majority of respondents view Israel's security situation as not good.
- Respondents are divided on preferred government formation if no bloc reaches 61 seats.
A new poll released Friday by Kan News indicates a shift in the upcoming Israeli election landscape, with the current coalition government projected to win 50 seats, down from 51 in the previous survey. The "Yishai" party, led by Naftali Bennett, has gained two seats, reaching 14. The "Gush Izencot" bloc remained unchanged at 52 seats.
The Likud party and "Yashar!" each lost one seat compared to last week, with Likud now at 20 seats and "Yashar!" at 22. The Democratic party dropped to eight seats from nine, while the Hadash-Ta'al and Balad list gained one seat to reach nine. United Torah Judaism also strengthened to eight seats, while Shas weakened to seven.
In the race for prime minister, Naftali Bennett and Benjamin Netanyahu are now tied, with 38% of respondents favoring each. This is the first time since late August that Netanyahu is not leading Bennett in this category. Gush Izencot continues to lead Netanyahu, with 44% choosing him over Netanyahu's 38%.
Regarding voter turnout, 71% of respondents are confident they will vote, with opposition voters showing slightly higher certainty (80%) compared to coalition voters (75%). The number of undecided voters has increased to 36% from 30% in the previous poll.
Public opinion on the security situation is divided, with 58% of respondents believing Israel's security situation is not good, compared to 37% who think it is good. Among opposition voters, 73% hold this view, while 28% of coalition voters agree.
When asked about potential outcomes if the Gush Izencot bloc wins a majority but falls short of 61 seats, 27% favored a unity government, 27% preferred new elections, and 26% supported a minority government from the change bloc with Arab parties abstaining. Among coalition voters, 47% prefer new elections.
Additionally, the poll found that 32% of respondents believe there is a good chance of healing societal divisions after the election, while 42% believe there is not. The article also briefly mentions an increase in threats against prime ministerial candidates and an offer by Bezalel Smotrich to Ofer Vinter for a ministerial position in exchange for withdrawal, which was reportedly rejected.
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