New Poll Shows Bennett Gaining, Lieberman Weakening Ahead of Election
Translated & summarized from Behadrei Haredim by baba
A new "Israel Hayom" poll shows Naftali Bennett's "Yachad" party gaining support to 14 seats, while Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu drops to 7 seats, five days before the Knesset elections. Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc remains at 50 seats, far from the 61 needed for a government. Security is the top voter concern at 26%, followed by the cost of living at 23%. Only 30% of respondents plan to vote for the same party as last time.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Naftali Bennett's "Yachad" party rises to 14 seats in a new "Israel Hayom" poll.
- Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party falls to 7 seats, its lowest in the series.
- Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc is projected to win 50 seats, short of a majority.
- National security and the war are the top voter concerns at 26%, followed by economy at 23%.
- Only 30% of voters plan to vote for the same party as in the previous election.
A new poll released Thursday by "Israel Hayom" and the Kantar Institute indicates a surge for Naftali Bennett's "Yachad" party and a decline for Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu, just five days before the Knesset elections. The bloc supporting Benjamin Netanyahu remains at 50 seats, significantly short of the 61 needed to form a government.
Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashr" party leads with 23 seats, down one from the previous week, while Netanyahu's Likud holds steady at 21 seats for the third consecutive week. Bennett's "Yachad" party has climbed from 12 to 14 seats, its highest point since mid-August. Conversely, Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu has dropped from 8 to 7 seats, its lowest in the current polling series.
Among the Haredi parties, Arie Deri's Shas has gained a seat to reach 8, its highest in the series, while Yaakov Asher's United Torah Judaism remains at 7. Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit has weakened from 9 to 8 seats, and Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism and Identity party holds 6 seats. Ofer Winter's "Am Israel" party continues to poll below the electoral threshold with 2.7% of the vote.
The opposition bloc sees Yair Golan's Democrats party holding 8 seats, and the Reservists and Economic party led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zehlikha securing 4 seats. The current poll divides the Knesset into blocs totaling 50 seats for coalition parties, 52 for opposition parties, and 4 for the Hendel-Zehlikha list. Arab parties collectively garner 14 seats, with the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) taking 9 and Mansour Abbas's Ra'am taking 5.
Regarding voter priorities, the poll found that 26% of respondents consider national and personal security and the war as the primary issue influencing their vote, compared to 23% who cited the cost of living and economic situation. Other key issues include preserving democracy and the rule of law (12%), Haredi enlistment and burden sharing (9%), and establishing an inquiry committee for the October 7th massacre (8%).
The survey, conducted October 21-22 among 1,110 respondents aged 18 and over, also revealed that only 30% intend to vote for the same party as in the previous election, with 37% moving to another party within the same bloc and 9% switching blocs. A maximum margin of error of 3% was reported.
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