Market Predictors Who Profited From War Now Betting Against Netanyahu
Translated & summarized from TheMarker by baba
Accounts that profited from betting on security events on Polymarket are now largely betting against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. One account earned $1.2 million on a US-Iran deal and is now betting against Netanyahu. Researchers noted attempts to manipulate market forecasts on the platform.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Accounts profiting from security event bets on Polymarket are now betting against Netanyahu.
- One account, 'wan123', earned $1.2 million on a US-Iran deal prediction.
- The same account is now betting that Netanyahu will not be the next prime minister.
- Researchers observed attempts to manipulate market forecasts on Polymarket.
- Multiple successful security event bettors are shifting funds to Israeli election markets.
A new study reveals that accounts which profited from betting on security events on the Polymarket platform are now largely betting against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Researchers also identified signs of attempts to manipulate market forecasts on the platform, where even small trades can significantly alter outcomes.
One account, known as 'wan123', reportedly earned approximately $1.2 million by betting on a US-Iran deal signing in June 2026. This same account is now betting that Netanyahu will not be the next prime minister. Several other accounts that previously profited from betting on major Middle East security and political events are now redirecting their funds to bet on Israeli election outcomes.
The same event, reported separately by each outlet. Open a few to compare what different newsrooms emphasize — and what they leave out.
Left 1Other 1
Not the same event — other stories that share this one’s people, places, or theme: background, reactions, and follow-ups.
