Market Predictors Who Profited From War Now Betting Against Netanyahu
Translated & summarized from Haaretz by baba
Accounts that profited from betting on security events on Polymarket are now betting against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, according to a new study. One account earned $1.2 million on a US-Iran deal and is now betting against Netanyahu. Researchers noted attempts to manipulate the market, where small bets can have a large impact. Several successful betting accounts are shifting funds to wager on Israeli election results.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Accounts that profited from security event bets on Polymarket are now betting against PM Netanyahu.
- One account, 'wan123', earned $1.2 million on a US-Iran deal and is betting against Netanyahu.
- Researchers observed attempts to manipulate Polymarket's prediction market.
- Small transactions on Polymarket can significantly alter prediction outcomes.
- Successful betting accounts are now wagering on Israeli election results.
A new study reveals that accounts which profited from betting on security events on the Polymarket platform are now largely betting against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Researchers have also identified signs of attempts to manipulate predictions in the market, where even small transactions can significantly alter outcomes. One account, known as 'wan123', reportedly earned approximately $1.2 million by betting on a US-Iran agreement in June 2026. This same account is now betting that Netanyahu will not be the next prime minister.
Several other accounts that previously profited from betting on major Middle Eastern security and political events are now redirecting their funds to bet on Israeli election outcomes.
The same event, reported separately by each outlet. Open a few to compare what different newsrooms emphasize — and what they leave out.
Left 1Other 1
Not the same event — other stories that share this one’s people, places, or theme: background, reactions, and follow-ups.
