Pollster Filber Predicts Right-Wing Bloc Will Win 63-64 Seats Despite Recent Polls
Translated & summarized from Kikar HaShabbat by baba
Political analyst Shlomo Filber predicts the right-wing bloc will win 63-64 seats in the upcoming elections, despite recent polls showing a decline. He cited uncertainty in Arab and Haredi voter turnout and the impact of centrist parties as key factors. Filber's analysis contrasts with recent polls, including one from Channel 14, which showed the right-wing bloc at 61 seats.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Pollster Shlomo Filber forecasts the right-wing bloc will win 63-64 seats in the upcoming elections.
- Filber's prediction contrasts with recent polls showing a different outcome.
- He cited Arab and Haredi voter turnout as key influencing factors.
- Two centrist parties are currently "burning" six to seven mandates, impacting the right.
- A Channel 14 poll showed the right-wing bloc at 61 seats, with Likud at 29.
Political analyst and pollster Shlomo Filber reiterated his forecast for the upcoming election results on Sunday, maintaining his estimate that the right-wing bloc will secure 63-64 Knesset seats, despite recent polls suggesting otherwise. Filber shared his prediction during an interview on the "Ptitchey Vzmary" program on Radio Galey Israel, stating he stands by his assessment.
Filber identified two key factors influencing the final outcome: uncertainty regarding Arab voter turnout and, until recently, the turnout among the Haredi (ultra-Orthodox) community. He also pointed to a significant phenomenon of two centrist parties currently "burning" six to seven mandates between them, with a disproportionate impact on the right-wing bloc.
His projections come amid recent polls that present a different picture. A Channel 14 poll, for instance, showed the right-wing bloc dropping to 61 seats, with the Likud party falling to 29 mandates and Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael Beiteinu party declining to 20 seats.
Filber, known for his detailed analysis of election trends and voter behavior, previously claimed that approximately 400,000 Likud voters from the 2022 election have not disappeared and will be present at the ballot boxes. He made these remarks in the context of polls published by Channel 14, which he noted differ from those released by other outlets.
