Pollster Predicts Right-Wing Bloc Will Win 63-64 Seats
Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba
Pollster Shlomo Filber predicts the right-wing bloc will win 63-64 seats in the upcoming elections, despite a recent poll showing a drop to 61. Filber attributes the poll's decline to smaller parties' advertising campaigns inflating their numbers. He urged right-wing voters to prioritize bloc unity over niche parties to ensure victory. The latest poll showed Likud leading with 29 seats.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Pollster Shlomo Filber predicts the right-wing bloc will win 63-64 seats in the upcoming elections.
- Filber attributes recent poll declines to smaller parties' extensive advertising campaigns.
- He urged right-wing voters to act with "bloc responsibility" to ensure victory.
- A recent poll showed the Netanyahu bloc dropping to 61 seats, a narrow majority.
- The poll indicated Likud leading with 29 seats.
- Vote dispersion among smaller parties is causing a loss of right-wing votes.
Pollster and strategist Shlomo Filber has responded to criticism following the latest poll, reaffirming his prediction that the right-wing bloc will secure 63 to 64 seats in the upcoming elections. Filber dismissed claims that his forecast was inaccurate, stating on his X account that his original projection remains valid.
He attributed the recent fluctuations in poll numbers to extensive, multi-million shekel advertising campaigns by smaller parties. Filber explained that these campaigns have caused minor parties, some unlikely to pass the electoral threshold, to appear to gain support. He cited specific examples like Ach"i adding thousands of votes, Noam for Israel approaching the threshold with around 30,000 votes, and the Haredi public contributing tens of thousands more. He also noted that "Amcha Israel" and another party are each losing approximately 70,000 right-wing votes, contributing to the perceived deficit.
Filber emphasized that the key to realizing this potential lies in voter behavior at the ballot box. He urged right-wing voters to act with "bloc responsibility" and avoid choosing niche parties that align with their "exact taste," stressing that this unity will ensure a victory of at least 63-64 seats.
This comes after a recent poll published by Channel 14 showed the Netanyahu bloc dropping to 61 seats, a narrow and fragile majority compared to the 63 seats seen in previous surveys. The poll indicated Likud leading with 29 seats, but the dispersion of votes among smaller right-wing parties failing to cross the electoral threshold led to a loss of valuable right-wing votes and a reduced coalition advantage just two weeks before the elections.
