Iran Gains Unprecedented Control Over Strait of Hormuz in New Oman Agreement

Iran and Oman are nearing a final agreement that will regulate ship passage through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global maritime chokepoint. The deal, expected to be signed soon, will fundamentally alter pre-war navigation arrangements by granting Iran significant control over shipping routes and the authority to monitor vessel movements. This development comes amid ongoing tensions following months of conflict involving the United States.

Under the proposed agreement, ships entering the strait will pass through Iranian waters, while those exiting will navigate Omani waters. Previously, vessels used a central route between the two countries, which has been heavily mined during the conflict. The parties plan to clear these mines to restore safe passage.

A key change is that all ships will need to coordinate their transit with Iranian authorities, even when traveling through Omani waters, marking a new level of Iranian oversight. Before the war, Iran did not control or require coordination for ship movements in the strait.

Financially, the agreement initially waives transit fees for 60 days, after which negotiations will determine charges. Iranian sources indicate the inclusion of "service fees" to cover environmental impact, security, and personnel costs, with revenues split equally between Iran and Oman. Reports suggest Iran seeks fees of 5% to 7% of cargo value, Oman considers about 3%, while the U.S. opposes any charges. Previously, passage through the strait was free.

These three major changes, altered shipping lanes, Iranian control over transit coordination, and potential fees, will enhance Iran's strategic leverage and provide a new income source to aid its economy post-conflict. The agreement effectively cements Iran's dominance over one of the world's most vital maritime passages.