Likud and Yisrael Beytenu Tie at 23 Seats Each in New Israeli Poll

A new poll by the Midgam Institute, led by Manu Geva and published on August 3, 2026, reveals a dramatic shift in Israel's political landscape. Both Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party and Gadi Eizenkot's Yisrael Beytenu party are tied with 23 seats each in the Knesset. Likud gained one seat compared to the previous poll, while Yisrael Beytenu maintained its position.

Naftali Bennett's faction, Yachdav, halted its recent sharp decline and stabilized at 14 seats after losing 12 seats over 13 weeks. The Democratic party, led by Yair Golan, holds steady at 10 seats, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beytenu remains at 9 seats. Among the ultra-Orthodox parties, United Torah Judaism retains 8 seats, while Shas, led by Aryeh Deri, dropped by one seat to 7. Otzma Yehudit, headed by Itamar Ben-Gvir, also holds 7 seats, and Religious Zionism, led by Bezalel Smotrich, gained one seat to reach 5.

In the Arab sector, Hadash-Ta'al, led by Yosef Jabareen and Ahmad Tibi, and Ra'am, led by Mansour Abbas, each have 5 seats. The Zionist Union of Reservists, led by Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel, passes the electoral threshold with 4 seats. Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, and Balad, led by Sami Abu Shehadeh, fall below the threshold with 1.4% and 0.8% respectively.

The poll shows Netanyahu's coalition bloc at 50 seats, while the opposition bloc, including 10 seats from Arab parties, totals 70 seats. This data highlights a significant opposition majority in the Knesset ahead of upcoming political developments.