Channel 14 Poll Shows Right-Wing Bloc Leading with 62 Seats, Smotrich and Ben Gvir Tied

A new Channel 14 poll conducted by Shlomo Filber reveals a right-wing bloc advantage in the upcoming Israeli elections, securing 62 seats in the Knesset. The left-center bloc is projected to receive 48 seats, while Arab parties collectively hold 10 seats. The Likud party, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, remains the largest party with 31 seats. Following Likud, the "Yashar" party headed by Gadi Eizenkot is projected to gain 22 seats.

Religious and right-wing parties show varied results: Shas is expected to win 11 seats, the Democrats 10, and Yahadut HaTorah, Yisrael Beiteinu, and the "Together" party led by Naftali Bennett each receive eight seats. Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism each secure six seats, with the latter indicating a tie between leaders Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben Gvir. The Arab parties Hadash-Ta'al and Ra'am each receive five seats.

Several parties fall below the electoral threshold, including Balad with 2.9%, the Zionist Home for Reservists led by Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel at 1.9%, Zehut under Moshe Feiglin at 1.3%, Ofer Winter's list at 1.2%, Gilad Erdan at 0.7%, and Blue and White at just 0.5%. This distribution highlights the fragmentation among smaller parties and the consolidation of right-wing forces ahead of the elections.