Updated Poll Shows Right-Wing Bloc Gaining Majority, Yisrael Beiteinu Falls Below Threshold
Translated & summarized from Now 14 by baba
A revised election poll by Shlomo Filber for News 14 projects the right-wing bloc will win 62 seats in the upcoming Knesset elections, securing a majority. Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party is shown falling below the electoral threshold. The Likud party is projected to gain seats, reaching 31 mandates, while the left-wing bloc drops to 40 seats. The final voter turnout was reported as 77.7%, the highest since 2001.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Updated poll shows right-wing bloc gaining 62 mandates, securing a majority in the Knesset.
- Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party is projected to fall below the electoral threshold.
- The Likud party strengthens to 31 mandates in the revised survey.
- The left-wing bloc is projected to receive 40 mandates, down from an earlier projection.
- Arab parties collectively gain strength, projected to receive 18 mandates.
- Voter turnout reached 77.7%, the highest for that hour since 2001.
A significant shift has occurred in the latest election poll for the 26th Knesset, with pollster Shlomo Filber updating his News 14 survey based on final voting data. The updated poll now indicates the right-wing bloc will secure 62 mandates, granting them a majority in the Knesset, while the left-wing bloc drops to 40 mandates. This represents an increase from the initial poll which showed the right-wing bloc with 60 mandates.
The most notable change is the apparent fall of Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party below the electoral threshold, meaning it would not enter the Knesset. Conversely, the Likud party, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, strengthens to 31 mandates, and Gadi Eisenkot's YASHR party rises to 20 mandates. The Joint List also sees an increase, gaining 11 mandates.
In the updated News 14 poll, the right-wing bloc gains two mandates compared to the initial survey, reaching 62 mandates, two seats above the minimum required for coalition formation. The left-wing bloc, which initially had 43 mandates, is now projected to receive only 40. Meanwhile, Arab parties collectively strengthen from 17 to 18 mandates.
The Likud remains the largest party in the updated poll with 31 mandates, up from 30 in the initial survey. YASHR also gains one mandate, moving from 19 to 20. The Together party led by Naftali Bennett holds steady at 11 mandates, and the Democrats led by Yair Golan maintain their strength with 9 mandates.
Among the ultra-Orthodox parties, Shas strengthens to 10 mandates from 9, while United Torah Judaism remains at 7. Religious Zionism receives 7 mandates, Ra'am secures 7, and Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, also holds 7 mandates. The Joint List increases to 11 mandates from 10, bringing the total strength of Arab parties to 18.
Filber's updated poll shows Yisrael Beiteinu dropping from four mandates in the initial survey to zero, failing to pass the electoral threshold. Filber had previously expressed his assessment that Lieberman might not enter the next Knesset, which would allow the right-wing bloc to reach 61 mandates or more. The Central Elections Committee reported a final voter turnout of 77.7% by 10 PM, the highest for that hour since 2001, which could significantly impact parties close to the 3.25% electoral threshold.
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