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Ongoing Story· Day 55

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

142 developments

SrugimPolitics

Pollster Claims Lieberman's Party May Fall Below Threshold

Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba

Religious-rightCharged tone

Hebrew · 1 newsroom

Pollster Shlomo Filber claims Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party is polling below the electoral threshold, potentially boosting the right-wing bloc's seat count. Channel 14's exit poll projected 4 seats for Yisrael Beiteinu, but Filber suggests it might not pass the threshold. If so, the right-wing bloc could reach 62 seats, securing a governing majority.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Pollster Shlomo Filber claims Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party is below the electoral threshold.
  • If Yisrael Beiteinu fails to pass the threshold, the right-wing bloc could reach 62 seats.
  • Channel 14's exit poll projected 4 seats for Yisrael Beiteinu.
  • The current projection shows the right-wing bloc at 60 seats.
  • Likud is projected to receive 30 seats in the Channel 14 poll.
Pollster Claims Lieberman's Party May Fall Below Threshold
Editorial illustration generated by baba News, not a photograph of the event.

Pollster Shlomo Filber, who managed Channel 14's election night exit poll, has presented a dramatic assessment regarding the Yisrael Beiteinu party, led by Avigdor Lieberman, and its potential impact on the bloc's composition. While Channel 14's data system placed Lieberman's party on the cusp of the electoral threshold, Filber stated that ground data indicates significant weakness.

"Honestly, Lieberman is below the electoral threshold," Filber declared after the poll's release. "Out of caution, we gave him 4 seats, but if he ultimately doesn't pass, the right-wing bloc reaches 62 seats." This projection suggests that if Yisrael Beiteinu fails to cross the threshold, the right-wing bloc could gain a crucial majority.

According to the full results of Channel 14's poll, the seat distribution is as follows: Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) 30 seats, Yesh Atid (Gadi Eisenkot) 19, Yamina (Naftali Bennett) 11, the Joint List 10, Shas 9, Democrats (Yair Golan) 9, Ra'am 7, Religious Zionism and Identity 7, Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) 7, United Torah Judaism 7, and Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman) 4.

The current data shows the right-wing bloc at 60 seats. However, if Filber's forecast for Yisrael Beiteinu proves accurate and the party does not pass the electoral threshold, the seat allocation would shift, potentially enabling the right-wing bloc to secure the necessary majority to form a government.

SrugimRight · Jerusalem

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