Israeli Election Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc Falling Short of Majority
Translated & summarized from Now 14 by baba
A Kan 11 News poll released Tuesday projects the Netanyahu bloc with only 50 mandates in the Israeli Knesset elections, while the Eisenkot bloc is predicted to win 53. The Likud party is forecast to receive 25 mandates, and Arab parties collectively 17. The poll shows significant differences compared to other surveys, particularly in bloc allocations and individual party results.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Kan 11 poll predicts Netanyahu bloc with 50 mandates, Eisenkot bloc with 53.
- Likud party projected to win 25 mandates, down from other polls.
- Arab parties collectively expected to secure 17 mandates.
- Yesh party forecasts 21 mandates, Bennett's Together party 14.
- Significant differences noted between Kan 11 poll and other surveys.
A poll conducted by Kan 11 News, released Tuesday evening as voting closed for the 26th Knesset, presents a significantly different outcome than other surveys, projecting the Netanyahu bloc with only 50 mandates. In contrast, the Eisenkot bloc is predicted to secure 53 mandates. The Arab parties collectively are expected to win 17 mandates.
The Likud party, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, is projected to remain the largest party with 25 mandates, a decrease from other polls. Gadi Eisenkot's Yesh party is forecast to receive 21 mandates, and Naftali Bennett's Together party is expected to get 14 mandates. Yair Golan's Democrats are predicted to win 10 mandates, while Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu is projected to receive 8 mandates, double its result in a competing poll.
Significant discrepancies are also noted among coalition parties. Shas and United Torah Judaism are each expected to win 6 mandates, a drop from other projections. Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit is forecast to receive 7 mandates, and Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism and Identity party is predicted to get 6 mandates.
Among Arab parties, the Hadash-Ta'al list is projected to win 10 mandates, with Ra'am receiving 7, totaling 17 mandates for Arab parties, consistent with other polls, attributed to high voter turnout in the Arab sector. Parties such as Am Israel, the Handel-Zalicha list, the Haredi public, and Noam are predicted to fall below the electoral threshold.
The primary divergence between polls lies in the bloc allocations. While one poll suggests the right-wing bloc could reach 60 mandates, the Kan 11 poll places Netanyahu's bloc at just 50 mandates. Substantial differences are also observed within individual parties, most notably a five-mandate gap for the Likud and a four-mandate difference for Yisrael Beiteinu.
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