Early Arab Voting Could Topple Netanyahu-Ben-Gvir Government, Expert Says

Professor Asaad Ghanem, a lecturer and researcher in political science, stated that the current Israeli elections hold exceptional importance for the Arab community, given recent restrictions on basic rights and escalating attacks. He believes the election results could significantly impact the future of Arab citizens in Israel. Ghanem observed a notable increase in calls for voting, even among those who typically abstain, suggesting that competition within the Israeli political landscape might empower the Arab vote. He emphasized that the primary goal is to end the current government, which he described as "fascist and racist," and cautioned against complacency based on positive poll results or media sentiment.

Ghanem warned that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has historically used last-minute incitement to mobilize his base. He also cautioned that media reports about high expected Arab voter turnout could prompt a strong response from the Israeli right, urging them to vote in large numbers to counter the Arab vote's influence. He stressed that actual participation depends on practical factors like work schedules, personal commitments, and access to polling stations, making organizational efforts crucial for boosting turnout.

He urged Arab political parties, social organizations, and local councils to intensify their organizational efforts in the hours leading up to the vote, encouraging citizens to cast their ballots in the morning. Ghanem noted that many Arab voters traditionally vote in the evening, which could lead to lower participation if they face crowds or difficulties returning later. He expressed hope for 50% Arab voter turnout by 2 p.m., believing early voting would alleviate pressure and enhance participation. He also highlighted the importance of facilitating voter access to polling stations and leveraging volunteers and technology, while remaining vigilant against any attempts to disrupt the voting process.

Ghanem asserted that the significance of voting extends beyond determining the next government; it also strengthens the Arab community's ability to organize, choose its political leaders, and hold them accountable. He sees elected leadership as essential for addressing community issues, combating violence, and enhancing political presence. He added that increased turnout could affect the prospects of far-right parties and hinder the ability of figures like Itamar Ben-Gvir, Bezalel Smotrich, and Netanyahu from continuing their policies toward Arab citizens and Palestinians. Ghanem acknowledged that the impact of individual votes might be limited but remains important if it helps prevent a more extreme government or reduces racist policies and restrictions against the Arab community.

He further stated that the political discussion should encompass the ability of Arab parties to achieve gains on core issues such as combating violence, securing budgets, preventing home demolitions, and addressing legislation like the Kaminitz Law. Ghanem mentioned that the Joint List and the United List have advocated for ousting the current government and advancing demands for the Arab community, suggesting these could be factors in forming the next government. He concluded by reiterating the necessity of broad participation in the elections, warning that abstention could allow the continuation of policies detrimental to the Arab community and Palestinians, with potential repercussions extending beyond Israel to Gaza, the Negev, Jerusalem, and the Jordan Valley.