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Ongoing Story· Day 51

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

106 developments

CursorinfoPolitics

Polls Show Declining Support for Netanyahu's Coalition Ahead of Elections

Translated & summarized from Cursorinfo by baba

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Russian · 1 newsroom

Pre-election polls in Israel show a decline in support for Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's coalition, projecting 50 mandates for the ruling bloc. Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads with 22-23 mandates, while Netanyahu's "Likud" follows with 19-21. Several smaller parties face challenges crossing the electoral threshold, and Ofer Vinter's "Amcha Israel" is not expected to enter the Knesset. The polls were released before a publication ban took effect.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Polls predict Netanyahu's coalition will win 50 Knesset mandates, indicating declining support.
  • Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads projections with 22-23 mandates.
  • Netanyahu's "Likud" party is projected to win 19-21 mandates.
  • Ofer Vinter's "Amcha Israel" party is not expected to pass the electoral threshold.
  • Yoaz Hendel and the party leader's "Reservists" party faces uncertainty about entering the Knesset.
  • The polls were released just before a ban on their publication began.
Polls Show Declining Support for Netanyahu's Coalition Ahead of Elections
Editorial illustration generated by baba News, not a photograph of the event.

Recent Knesset election polls in Israel indicate a weakening of support for the coalition led by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, with all three major Israeli television channels projecting 50 mandates for the ruling bloc. These projections were released just before a ban on publishing such surveys takes effect.

All three surveys agree that Ofer Vinter's "Amcha Israel" party will not pass the electoral threshold to enter the Knesset. The prospects for Yoaz Hendel and the party leader's "Reservists" party are divided, with Channel 11 predicting four mandates while two commercial channels forecast it will fall short of the required threshold, though only by a narrow margin.

Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party is projected to lead with 22 to 23 mandates. Netanyahu's "Likud" party is expected to secure 19 to 21 mandates, and the joint list of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, "Be Yahad," is predicted to gain 14 to 15 mandates.

Other parties' projections include Yair Golan's "Democrats" with 8 to 10 mandates, the "United List" with 8 to 9 mandates, Avigdor Lieberman's NDI and Itamar Ben-Gvir's "Jewish Power" each with 8 mandates. Shas and "United Torah Judaism" are expected to receive 7 to 8 seats each. Bezalel Smotrich and Moshe Feiglin's "Religious Zionism" is forecast to get between 6 and 8 mandates, while Mansour Abbas and Yair Segalovich's RAAM is predicted to secure 5 mandates.

Sociologist Tzuriel Sharon previously commented on significant discrepancies in pre-election polls, pointing to Netanyahu's miscalculation regarding Ofer Vinter's electoral prospects and noting increased support for Naftali Bennett.

CursorinfoOther · Tel Aviv

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