Poll: Vinter's Party Passes Knesset Threshold, Bennett Gains
Translated & summarized from NEWSru Israel by baba
A Channel 12 poll released October 21 shows Ofer Vinter's "Amcha Israel" party would enter the Knesset with 4 seats. If elections were held now, Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" would be the largest faction with 23 seats, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu's "Likud" with 19. Naftali Bennett's "Bayahad" bloc is projected to gain 15 seats. Eisenkot is the preferred candidate for prime minister over Netanyahu.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Ofer Vinter's "Amcha Israel" party is projected to pass the Knesset electoral threshold with 4 seats.
- Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party would be the largest faction with 23 seats in a new Knesset election.
- Benjamin Netanyahu's "Likud" party is projected to win 19 seats, while Naftali Bennett's bloc would get 15.
- Gadi Eisenkot is the preferred candidate for prime minister over Benjamin Netanyahu, according to the poll.
- Opposition parties are projected to win a combined 69 seats, versus 51 for Netanyahu's bloc.
A poll released Wednesday by Channel 12 indicates that Ofer Vinter's "Amcha Israel" party would overcome the electoral threshold and enter the Knesset if elections were held today. The survey, conducted by the Midgam Institute, shows Vinter's party securing 4 Knesset seats. This is the first time Vinter's party has been projected to pass the 3.25% electoral barrier.
If "Amcha Israel" were to withdraw from the race, the "Miluimnikim-Kalkalit" list led by Yoaz Hendel would pass the threshold and gain 4 seats. In a scenario where both "Amcha Israel" and Hendel's list withdraw, "Yashar" led by Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett's "Bayahad" bloc would each gain an additional seat, with Likud also gaining one.
The poll projects "Yashar" as the largest faction with 23 seats, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu's "Likud" with 19 seats, and Bennett's "Bayahad" bloc with 15 seats. This is the highest result for Bennett's party since September 1. Other parties projected to enter the Knesset include "Demokratim" (Yair Golan) and the Joint List (Yousef Jabareen) with 9 seats each, Shas and "Yisrael Beiteinu" with 8 seats each, "Otzma Yehudit" and "Yahadut HaTorah" with 7 seats each, "Tzionut Datit" with 6 seats, and RAAM with 5 seats.
In head-to-head matchups for prime minister, 44% of respondents preferred Gadi Eisenkot over Benjamin Netanyahu (33%). When comparing Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett, 40% preferred Bennett, while 37% preferred Netanyahu. Against Avigdor Lieberman, 38% preferred Netanyahu, with 29% favoring Lieberman.
Overall, opposition parties are projected to win 69 seats, while Netanyahu's bloc would secure 51 seats. The poll surveyed 505 adult Israeli residents on October 21, with a margin of error of 4.4%. Voter turnout intention is high, with 75% of respondents stating they intend to vote.
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