New Poll Shows Bennett Gaining, Winter's Party Passes Election Threshold
Translated & summarized from Mako by baba
A Channel 12 poll released six days before elections shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael party leading with 23 mandates, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud with 19. Naftali Bennett's Together party gains to 15 mandates, and Ofer Winter's Am Israel party crosses the electoral threshold with 4 mandates. The opposition bloc holds 69 mandates, while Netanyahu's bloc has 51. A high 75% of respondents plan to vote.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael party leads a new poll with 23 mandates, six days before elections.
- Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party is second with 19 mandates, down two from the last poll.
- Naftali Bennett's Together party gains to 15 mandates, its highest in a month and a half.
- Ofer Winter's Am Israel party successfully passes the electoral threshold with 4 mandates.
- The opposition bloc holds 69 mandates, while Netanyahu's bloc has 51 mandates.
- A high 75% of respondents indicated their intention to vote in the upcoming elections.
A new poll released by Channel 12 News just six days before the upcoming elections indicates that if the vote were held today, Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael party would emerge as the largest with 23 mandates. Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party follows with 19 mandates, a decrease of two from the previous poll. Naftali Bennett's Together party continues its upward trend, securing 15 mandates, one more than in the last survey, matching a high not seen in a month and a half. Ofer Winter's Am Israel party has successfully crossed the electoral threshold, gaining 4 mandates.
Yair Golan's Democrats and Yosef Jabareen's Joint List maintain their strength with 9 mandates each. Shas, led by Aryeh Deri, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu remain unchanged from the prior poll, each receiving 8 mandates. Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit weakens by one mandate to 7, while United Torah Judaism, led by Yaakov Asher, also holds 7 mandates. Similarly, Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism loses a mandate, settling at 6. Mansour Abbas's Ra'am is stable with 5 mandates, and Ofer Winter's Am Israel party, previously not crossing the threshold, now secures 4.
Parties failing to pass the 3.25% electoral threshold include Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha's Economic party, which receives 2.8% of the vote, an improvement from the previous poll's 2.1%. The Haredi Public party led by Moti Leitner and Tzeva Shachor, led by Eliezer Baumrind, both garner 0.3%.
The bloc picture remains largely unchanged despite Am Israel crossing the threshold. The opposition bloc holds 69 mandates (55 for Zionist parties and 14 for Arab parties), while Netanyahu's bloc has 51. The Likud lost two mandates compared to the previous poll, with Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism each losing one, totaling four mandates that are now reflected in Am Israel's four mandates above the threshold.
Regarding suitability for prime minister, Eisenkot leads Netanyahu by a narrow margin, with 44% preferring Eisenkot versus 33% for Netanyahu. Bennett also leads Netanyahu, with 40% preferring Bennett compared to 37% for Netanyahu. Netanyahu widens his lead over Lieberman, with 38% preferring Netanyahu against 29% for Lieberman.
A significant 75% of respondents indicated their intention to vote, a relatively high figure compared to previous elections' turnout rates of 67% to 72%. Notably, 82% of those intending to vote for the change bloc expressed their intention to vote, compared to 76% of those supporting Netanyahu's bloc.
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