New Poll Shows Bennett Gaining, Winter's Party Passes Threshold Ahead of Elections
Translated & summarized from N12 by baba
A Channel 12 poll released six days before elections shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael party leading with 23 mandates, followed by Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud with 19. Naftali Bennett's Together party gains to 15 mandates, and Ofer Winter's Am Israel party crosses the electoral threshold with 4 mandates. The poll indicates a 75% intention to vote, higher than in recent elections, and shows Eisenkot leading Netanyahu as preferred prime minister.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael party leads a new poll with 23 mandates, six days before elections.
- Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party is second with 19 mandates, down two from the last poll.
- Naftali Bennett's Together party rises to 15 mandates, its highest in a month and a half.
- Ofer Winter's Am Israel party successfully crosses the electoral threshold with 4 mandates.
- 75% of respondents intend to vote, a higher figure than in recent Israeli elections.
- Gadi Eisenkot is preferred as prime minister over Benjamin Netanyahu by 44% to 33%.
A new poll released by Channel 12 News just six days before the upcoming elections indicates that if the vote were held today, Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael party would emerge as the largest with 23 mandates. Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party follows with 19 mandates, a decrease of two from the previous poll. Naftali Bennett's Together party continues its upward trend, securing 15 mandates, one more than in the last survey, reaching a level not seen in a month and a half. Ofer Winter's Am Israel party has successfully crossed the electoral threshold, gaining 4 mandates.
Yair Golan's Democrats and Yosef Jabareen's Joint List maintain their strength with 9 mandates each. Shas, led by Aryeh Deri, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu remain unchanged from the prior poll, each receiving 8 mandates. Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit weakens by one mandate to 7, as does Yaakov Asher's United Torah Judaism, also with 7 mandates. Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism also loses a mandate, settling at 6. Mansour Abbas's Ra'am holds steady with 5 mandates, and Ofer Winter's Am Israel party, as mentioned, secures 4 mandates.
Parties failing to pass the 3.25% electoral threshold include the Economic party, led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha, which received 2.8% of the vote, a slight improvement from the previous poll. The Haredi Public party and Tzeva Shachor each garnered only 0.3% of the vote.
The poll also analyzed the bloc dynamics. Despite Am Israel crossing the threshold, the overall bloc picture remains unchanged. The opposition bloc holds 69 mandates (55 for Zionist parties and 14 for Arab parties), while Netanyahu's bloc has 51. The Likud party lost 2 mandates, and Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism each lost one, contributing to Am Israel's gain.
Regarding preferred prime minister, Eisenkot leads Netanyahu by a narrow margin, with 44% preferring Eisenkot and 33% preferring Netanyahu. Bennett also leads Netanyahu, with 40% favoring Bennett and 37% favoring Netanyahu. Netanyahu widens his lead over Lieberman, with 38% preferring Netanyahu and 29% preferring Lieberman.
Notably, 75% of respondents indicated their intention to vote, a figure higher than the 67%-72% turnout in recent elections. Voters for the change bloc showed a higher intention to vote (82%) compared to those supporting Netanyahu's bloc (76%). The poll also examined scenarios where parties near the threshold might withdraw, showing potential shifts in mandate distribution.
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