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Ongoing Story· Day 48

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

103 developments

PanetPolitics

Poll Shows Eisenkot Leading With 24 Seats, Arab Lists Garner 14

Translated & summarized from Panet by baba

CommunityNeutral tone

Arabic · 1 newsroom

A Channel 12 poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leading with 24 seats, ahead of the Likud's 21. The survey was conducted before MK Beni Gantz announced his withdrawal from the election race. Several Arab parties combined garnered 14 seats in the poll. The "Midgam" Institute conducted the survey among 507 participants with a 4.4% margin of error.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads a poll with 24 seats, ahead of the Likud's 21.
  • The poll was conducted by the "Midgam" Institute before Beni Gantz withdrew from the election.
  • Naftali Bennett's "Yahad" party and the Joint List are projected to win 14 and 9 seats respectively.
  • Two Arab parties, the Joint List and the United Arab List, together secured 14 seats in the survey.
  • Several parties, including Beni Gantz's "Kahol Lavan," fell below the electoral threshold.
  • The poll surveyed 507 participants with a 4.4% margin of error.

A poll published by Israel's Channel 12 last night indicates that the "Yashar" party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, would secure 24 seats, making it the largest party in the 26th Knesset. The results were released shortly after MK Beni Gantz announced his withdrawal from the electoral race, though the poll was conducted before Gantz's decision.

The survey projected the following seat allocations: "Yashar" (Gadi Eisenkot) 24 seats, "Likud" (Binyamin Netanyahu) 21 seats, "Yahad" (Naftali Bennett) 14 seats, "HaDemocratim" (Yair Golan) 9 seats, the Joint List (Yousef Jabareen) 9 seats, "Shas" (Aryeh Deri) 8 seats, "Yisrael Beiteinu" (Avigdor Lieberman) 8 seats, "Otzma Yehudit" (Itamar Ben-Gvir) 8 seats, "Yahadut HaTorah" (Yaakov Asher) 7 seats, and "HaTzionut HaDatit" (Bezalel Smotrich) 7 seats. The United Arab List, led by Dr. Mansour Abbas, was projected to receive 5 seats.

Several parties fell below the electoral threshold, including "Amcha Israel" (Ofer Winter) at 2.8%, "HaMiloanim - HaKalkalit" (Yoaz Hendel) at 2.1%, and "Kahol Lavan" (Beni Gantz) at 1.4%.

The poll was conducted online and via phone on October 19, 2026, by the Midgam Institute, headed by Mano Geva. A total of 507 individuals aged 18 and over participated, out of 2,502 who were approached. The margin of error is 4.4%.

PanetArab · Arara

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