Polls Show Tight Race Ahead of Election, No Clear Majority
Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba
Ten days before the election, four polls show Gadi Eisenkot leading Benjamin Netanyahu, but bloc totals remain nearly tied. The Zionist opposition averages 51.25 mandates versus 51 for Netanyahu's bloc, with neither nearing a majority. Smaller parties and Arab lists could be decisive in the close race.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Polls show Gadi Eisenkot leading Benjamin Netanyahu with ten days left until the election.
- The Zionist opposition bloc averages 51.25 mandates, while Netanyahu's bloc averages 51 mandates.
- Neither bloc is projected to reach the 61-mandate majority needed to form a government.
- Eisenkot's "Yashar!" party averages 21.5 mandates, ahead of Likud's 19 mandates.
- Arab parties, averaging 13.75 mandates, could be decisive in the election outcome.
- Ofer Winter's party is shown falling below the electoral threshold in some surveys.
With ten days remaining until the election, four recent polls indicate a close race, with Gadi Eisenkot leading Benjamin Netanyahu in individual matchups. However, the bloc map remains tight, with the Zionist opposition averaging 51.25 mandates and Netanyahu's bloc averaging 51 mandates. The outcome may hinge on smaller parties, as neither bloc is projected to reach the 61-mandate majority needed to form a government.
Across the polls, Eisenkot's "Yashar!" party is consistently polling ahead of the Likud. The average for "Yashar!" is 21.5 mandates, compared to 19 for Likud. Naftali Bennett's party is polling at 12.5 mandates, while Ofer Winter's party is shown falling below the electoral threshold in some surveys.
When considering only the Zionist parties, the blocs are nearly tied. However, the inclusion of Arab parties, averaging 13.75 mandates, shifts the balance. Combined with the opposition bloc, this could bring them to an average of 65 mandates. Handel-Zelicha's party is polling at 4 mandates and is expected to remain outside the main bloc calculations.
The overall picture is of a highly competitive election within the Zionist camps, where Arab parties and smaller lists hovering around the electoral threshold could play a decisive role in determining the next government.
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