Poll Shows Declining Uncertainty Among Israeli Haredi Voters
Translated & summarized from JDN by baba
A poll by Ascoria shows undecided voters in Israel's Haredi community have fallen from 15% to 10% ahead of elections. Established parties United Torah Judaism and Shas maintain strong support among decided voters. Only one new Haredi party, led by Moti Lightner, is polling above 1%. The trend indicates voters are making decisions and consolidating support rather than shifting allegiances.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Undecided voters in Israel's Haredi community dropped from 15% to 10% in recent polls.
- United Torah Judaism holds 60% of decided Haredi voters, Shas has 26-28%.
- Only Moti Lightner's 'HaTzibbur HaCharedi' party polls above 1% among new Haredi lists.
- New Haredi parties are failing to gain significant support, with most below 1%.
- Ascoria CEO Dudi Dror stated voters are deciding but consolidating behind existing parties.
A new poll by Ascoria, a public opinion research firm specializing in the Haredi sector, indicates a significant decrease in undecided voters ahead of the upcoming elections. The percentage of undecided voters in the Haredi community has dropped from approximately 15% in early September to around 10% in late September and early October. This trend was observed in both telephone and online surveys conducted by the firm.
Among Haredi voters who have made a decision, the established parties maintain their support levels. United Torah Judaism garners about 60% of decided voters, while Shas receives between 26% and 28%. These figures have remained largely consistent since early September, suggesting that those who have decided are not shifting their allegiances.
New Haredi parties are struggling to gain traction. Only "HaTzibbur HaCharedi" (The Haredi Public), led by Moti Lightner, has surpassed the 1% threshold, achieving 2.6% in a telephone poll and between 5% and 7.5% in online surveys. The other new parties, including "HaKehel," "Achi," "Tzeva Schachor," and "Noam," are not registering above 1% in any of the surveys.
Dudi Dror, CEO of Ascoria, commented that the data shows a shift from hesitancy to decision-making within the Haredi sector. He noted that voters are consolidating behind existing parties rather than defecting to new ones, and that Lightner's party is the only new list showing potential, though still far from the electoral threshold.
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