Poll Finds Over a Third of Israelis Expect Inconclusive Election Results
Translated & summarized from Channel 13 by baba
A recent poll reveals that 34% of Israelis anticipate an indecisive election outcome, with neither political bloc achieving a clear victory. The survey also shows a decline in optimism among both coalition and opposition supporters compared to two months ago. Views within the religious public on recommending a government leader are divided, with a significant portion preferring neither Netanyahu nor Eisenkot be recommended. The poll included 1,263 respondents and has a margin of error of 2.8%.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- 34% of Israelis expect an indecisive election outcome where no bloc wins, according to a new poll.
- Coalition supporters' belief in their bloc's victory has decreased from 65% to 55% in two months.
- Optimism among opposition supporters has declined, with fewer now believing the change bloc will win.
- Within the religious public, 37% favor recommending Netanyahu, while 17% prefer neither candidate be recommended.
- The poll surveyed 1,263 respondents with a margin of error of 2.8%.
A new poll indicates that 34% of Israelis, more than a third of the general public, believe that neither political bloc will achieve victory in the upcoming elections, leading to an indecisive outcome. According to the survey, 27% expect the coalition bloc to win, while 21% anticipate a victory for the change bloc, and 17% remain unsure. Among supporters of the current coalition, 55% believe it will win, a decrease from two months prior when 65% felt there would be no change. Only 3% of coalition supporters think the change bloc will win, down from previous surveys, and 27% believe neither bloc will secure a majority. Among opposition supporters, there has been a slight increase in those who believe the current coalition will win, but overall optimism has declined. While half of opposition supporters were convinced the change bloc would win two months ago, now just over a third hold that view, with a similar portion expecting a tie between the blocs. The poll also explored views within the religious public regarding recommendations for forming a government. While ultra-Orthodox parties are typically aligned with the Netanyahu bloc, the survey suggests this sentiment is not universal. Among all religious respondents, 37% favor recommending Netanyahu to form the government, with only 4% favoring a recommendation for Eisenkot and 17% preferring neither be recommended. Within the United Torah Judaism party specifically, 29% want a recommendation for Netanyahu, 4% for Eisenkot, and 19% prefer neither be recommended. In contrast, among Shas supporters, 48% want Netanyahu, 3% would prefer Shas recommend Eisenkot, and 9% prefer Shas recommend no one. The survey was conducted by HaMidgam in collaboration with Stat-Net, HaMidgam Project, and Ascari, with statistical consultation from Prof. David Steinberg. It included 1,263 respondents, with a margin of error of 2.8%.
