Israeli Election Polls Show Tight Race, No Clear Majority

With three weeks until the election, a compilation of recent polls from Israeli television channels and Maariv indicates a close race with no decisive outcome. The Yishar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, leads in three separate polls, but neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc nor the opposition is projected to reach the 61-seat majority needed to form a government.

The average of the polls suggests a near-even split, with both the bloc supporting Binyamin Netanyahu and the "Zionist opposition" each garnering approximately 52.3 seats. The outcome may hinge on the performance of parties hovering around the electoral threshold.

One poll shows the Likud party strengthening and leading the coalition to a tie, while another indicates Eisenkot weakening and Netanyahu gaining. The Amcha Israel party, headed by Ofer Vinter, is projected to surpass the electoral threshold and secure 5 seats in some surveys, but falls below it in others.

Parties failing to cross the electoral threshold in various polls include the Reservists-Economic party (Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha) with 2.9%, the Haredi Public party with 1.1%, and Benny Gantz's Blue and White party with 0.8%. Other parties like Noam for Israel, Omets Bayit Israel, and Israel Tfila received negligible support, failing to pass the threshold in some surveys.

Overall, the average of the polls shows Eisenkot leading slightly, with the blocs in a near-perfect tie. Arab parties collectively receive 13 seats in one poll, while the joint list of Hendel and Zelicha wins four seats, though they do not pass the threshold in that specific survey.