Poll Shows Yashar Leading Likud, Coalition Parties Short of Majority

A poll conducted by the Midgam institute and published by Keshet-12 on Monday, October 5, indicates that Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party would be the largest faction in the Knesset with 23 seats if elections were held today. Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party would follow with 21 seats.

Other parties' projected seat allocations include B'Yachad with 13, "Our Home Israel" and "Democrats" with 9 each, the Joint List and "Yahadut HaTorah" with 8 each, Shas and "Otzma Yehudit" with 7 each, "Zionut Datit"-"Zeut" with 6, and Ra'am with 5. The "Miluimnikim"-"Kalkalit" party is projected to receive 4 seats.

Notably, the "Amcha Yisrael" and "Blue and White" parties would not pass the electoral threshold. The current coalition parties combined would secure 49 mandates, while opposition parties, including Arab parties, would hold 67. The "Miluimnikim"-"Kalkalit" bloc's seats were not included in this bloc calculation.

In a head-to-head comparison for prime minister, 41% of respondents favored Eisenkot over Netanyahu, who received 38%. When compared to Bennett, Netanyahu was preferred by 41% to Bennett's 37%. Against Lieberman, Netanyahu garnered 43% of the vote compared to Lieberman's 26%.

Regarding responsibility for the failures of October 7, 25% of those polled blamed the government, 17% blamed the army, and 47% believed both the government and the army shared equal responsibility. The remaining 11% did not know.