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Exit Polls Show Right-Wing Bloc Dominating Israeli Election

Exit polls and early projections from Israel's 26th Knesset elections on Tuesday showed a highly divided political landscape, with the final outcome of the right-wing bloc's majority hanging on the final vote count. According to Behadrei Haredim, Channels 12, 13, and Kan 11 projected the right-wing bloc would secure only 50 seats, while Channel 14's poll suggested 60 seats. Later, pollster Shlomo Filber of Direct Polls forecast that the right-wing bloc led by Benjamin Netanyahu could secure a majority of 61 or 62 seats.

3 newsrooms · 1 language · since 27 Oct, 21:11

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What happened

01Exit polls from Tuesday's election showed a divided political landscape, with predictions for the right-wing bloc ranging from 50 to 60 Knesset seats.
02The Central Elections Committee reported a record voter turnout of 77.7%, the highest in Israel since 2001.
03The Likud party, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, is projected to be the largest single party, securing between 24 and 30 seats.
04Pollster Shlomo Filber forecast that the right-wing bloc could achieve a majority of 61 to 62 seats if Yisrael Beiteinu falls below the threshold.
05The high voter turnout raised the electoral threshold to approximately 186,000 votes, endangering several smaller parties.
06The Yishar! party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, emerged as a significant force with projected results of 19 to 23 seats.
07Arab parties, including the Joint List and Ra'am, are projected to win a combined total of 16 to 18 seats.
08Avigdor Lieberman expressed doubts regarding the accuracy of the initial exit polls, pointing to the uncounted double envelopes.

The Likud party, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, is expected to remain the largest single party, with projections ranging from 24 to 30 seats. Other major parties include the Yishar! party led by Gadi Eisenkot, projected by Behadrei Haredim to win 19 to 23 seats, and Yesh Atid, projected by Now 14 to win 23 seats. The Together party led by Naftali Bennett was forecast to gain 11 to 15 seats, while Arab parties, including the Joint List and Ra'am, are projected to win between 16 and 18 seats.

The election was marked by a record voter turnout of 77.7%, the highest since 2001. This high turnout raised the electoral threshold to approximately 186,000 votes, putting several smaller parties at risk. According to JDN, Filber's analysis suggested that Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party might fall below the electoral threshold, which would drastically alter the seat distribution and grant Netanyahu a stable majority. Lieberman expressed doubts about the accuracy of the initial polls due to the double envelope counts.

Summarized by baba from the reports of 3 newsrooms. Updated 03:24

Latest report: Now 14. Read Now 14’s original