Investors Back Gadi Eizenkot Over Netanyahu by 20% in Israel PM Race Forecasts
Two international prediction platforms, Polymarket and Kalshi, show former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot leading Israel's prime minister race by over 20 percentage points against incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu. Polymarket places Eizenkot at 53% and Kalshi at 54%, reflecting a significant momentum shift in his favor. These prediction markets, which rely on crowd wisdom and real capital investments, are often regarded as reliable indicators combining polls and in-depth analyses. The consistent and sizable lead suggests that investors and international forecast traders anticipate a high likelihood of a change in government leadership in the upcoming 2026 elections. This trend raises the question of whether the financial backing will translate into actual political success, but current data strongly points toward Eizenkot as the probable next prime minister of Israel.
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