Gadi Eizenkot Leads Israeli PM Forecasts, Netanyahu Second, Liberman Surpasses Bennett
Global prediction markets indicate a clear trend for Israel's 2026 prime ministerial race, with former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eizenkot leading the forecasts by securing over half of the market predictions. Benjamin Netanyahu holds the second position with 34%, while Avigdor Liberman has overtaken Naftali Bennett, pushing Bennett to fourth place with only 8% support.
These results come from prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, which differ from traditional telephone polls by relying on crowd wisdom and investors risking their own money based on in-depth trend analysis. Both platforms show a strong consensus, highlighting a significant surge in Eizenkot's chances and a sharp decline for Bennett. Liberman's rise to 10% places him ahead of Bennett, signaling a notable shift in political dynamics.
This trend suggests a tectonic change in Israel's future leadership, contrasting with the ongoing daily political conflicts within the Knesset. The data from these markets may prompt reconsideration among Israeli politicians and observers about the likely direction of the country's leadership after the 2026 elections.
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