Gadi Eizenkot Leads Betting Markets as Favorite for Israel's Next Prime Minister

According to recent data from the American prediction market platform Kalshi, former IDF Chief of Staff and minister Gadi Eizenkot has surged ahead with a 59% chance of becoming Israel's next prime minister. Similar results appear on the cryptocurrency-based prediction platform Polymarket, where Eizenkot holds over 56% probability, roughly double that of incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu. This consistent trend across two major international betting markets reflects strong confidence among global traders in Eizenkot's prospects following the 2026 elections.

The betting market on Israel's next prime minister has become a significant financial arena, with estimated total wagers reaching approximately 100 million shekels. This substantial investment underscores the high level of international interest in Israeli politics and the willingness of investors to risk large sums based on geopolitical analysis. Unlike traditional opinion polls, these prediction markets operate like free exchanges where contract prices indicate winning probabilities, driven purely by collective market wisdom and actual financial stakes.

While it remains uncertain whether these markets will accurately predict the election outcome, the current volume and direction of bets clearly favor Eizenkot over Netanyahu and other contenders such as Naftali Bennett and Avigdor Lieberman. The final verdict will only be known on election day, but for now, the global trading community appears to place its trust in Eizenkot's chances.