US Intelligence Estimates Iran Possesses 1500-2500 Missiles

The U.S. intelligence community estimates that Iran possesses between 1,500 and 2,500 missiles, despite significant strikes by the U.S. and Israel on its military infrastructure, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing U.S. officials. Sources emphasized that the accuracy of this assessment is low, as U.S. intelligence services face difficulties in determining the exact number of immediately launchable missiles and the quantity of weapons stored in depots and underground facilities. Nevertheless, sources believe Tehran has maintained a substantial missile arsenal capable of striking U.S. forces and allies should a full-scale war resume. While U.S. and Israeli strikes reportedly inflicted considerable damage on Iran's missile production facilities, Tehran continues to replenish its stocks, albeit at a slower pace than before the conflict. This replenishment relies primarily on pre-prepared components and those salvaged after bombings. Iran has also regained access to some underground facilities damaged during the military campaign. In addition to ballistic missiles, Iran retains numerous drones and short-range missiles. Israeli assessments align with U.S. estimates, suggesting Iran still possesses over 1,500 ballistic missiles. These intelligence findings contradict previous statements by U.S. President Donald Trump and his administration, which claimed Iran's military power was largely destroyed. However, U.S. and Israeli officials acknowledge Tehran is rebuilding its armed forces and preparing for a potential new phase of confrontation. The intelligence on Iran's remaining missile capabilities is influencing discussions within the U.S. administration regarding further military strikes. Israeli leadership advocates for continued operations against Iranian military infrastructure, while Trump currently favors economic pressure, sanctions, and a naval blockade. Leaders of Gulf states have warned Washington that a new military operation could provoke large-scale Iranian retaliation. U.S. specialists are also noting improvements in Iran's missile tactics, including enhanced guidance, combined missile and drone attacks, and potential Russian assistance. Despite significant losses, Iran's missile program remains operational, though uncertainties persist regarding the exact number of remaining missiles, Tehran's ability to rapidly replenish them, and its capacity for mass launches in a new conflict. Israeli security sources estimated in early November 2026 that Iran still had over 1,700 ballistic missiles capable of reaching Israel. The Alma research center noted that Tehran continues to rebuild its arsenal despite losses. Before the military campaign in spring 2026, Iran had approximately 470-480 launch platforms, a significant portion of which were destroyed or disabled. Analysts estimated around 100-200 platforms remained in March, with no reliable data on the current number of operational launch units.