Israel Prepares for Potential Solo Action Against Iran Without US

Israel is reportedly preparing for the possibility of acting alone against Iran, without American participation, according to a report by the Hebrew website Walla! News. The report cites informed sources indicating that U.S. President Donald Trump currently appears unwilling to engage in a joint operation, with his focus directed towards an upcoming visit to China. Despite recent concerns raised by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) regarding an undeclared nuclear facility in Isfahan, the Israeli security establishment is not currently detecting an immediate threat or Iranian preparations for an attack.

The IAEA report expressed "growing concern" about the facility, noting uncertainty about its precise location, oversight status, and whether it contains nuclear material, though it did not mention enrichment activities. In response, the Israeli military is updating its target bank, and the Air Force is analyzing lessons from previous combat rounds, such as Operation "Lion's Roar." Security officials stated that the military maintains defensive and offensive readiness but is proceeding cautiously due to Israel's complex political situation.

U.S. naval forces in the Central Command area include approximately 17 warships, including two aircraft carriers, 13 destroyers, and a cruiser. The arrival of the USS Theodore Roosevelt is anticipated, though some reports suggest it may replace the USS George Washington rather than augment the fleet. Additionally, around 200 U.S. fighter jets and 200 aerial refueling aircraft are deployed in the region, according to the Institute for National Security Studies and researcher Steve Cohen. However, U.S. bombers that participated in operations over Iran in March have not returned to their designated regional bases.

Israel has shared specific intelligence with Washington regarding Iranian intentions to target U.S. officials, including President Trump, potentially using drones. Israel continues to urge Washington to resume strikes, with Mossad chief Roman Gofman visiting the U.S. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is scheduled to convene a meeting of the Security Cabinet on Sunday evening, the first during the caretaker government's tenure. Netanyahu is pushing for military action in Iran, but faces opposition from Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir due to timing and the lack of U.S. support.

Estimates suggest Iran retains approximately 450 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, the location of which Western intelligence officials claim to know. Israeli officials have expressed concern over the lack of oversight for these quantities. Abner Weilen, an expert on the Iranian nuclear file and former senior security official, warned that the IAEA report raises troubling questions about the scale of Iran's program and Israel's and Washington's ability to monitor it post-strikes. Iran's Tasnim news agency reported that Iran possesses the "technical capability" to extend its missile range beyond 2,000 kilometers, potentially reaching 3,000 to 4,000 kilometers by reducing the warhead weight of the "Khorramshahr 4" missile, which could target U.S. and allied bases in parts of Europe. This follows a statement by Revolutionary Guard spokesman Hossein Mohibi that "range restrictions have been lifted," and a warning attributed to Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei that any "threat" from Israel or the U.S. would be met "without geographical restrictions."