Veteran Pollster Mina Tzemach Alleges Likud Orchestrated Survey Deception

Veteran pollster Mina Tzemach has revealed that individuals associated with the Likud party intentionally manipulated survey results during the 2022 elections. Speaking on 103FM radio, Tzemach stated that this was not the first time she had been a victim of such deception, noting that the same group had contacted her to apologize after the 2022 elections and promised not to repeat their actions.

Tzemach explained that a small error in survey data, such as a two-percent deviation for one party, can significantly impact final results. She elaborated that a two-percent shift between parties translates to a four-percent difference, which can amount to five parliamentary seats, highlighting the substantial consequences of seemingly minor inaccuracies in election polls.

She distinguished between exit polls conducted on election day and ongoing surveys conducted beforehand, emphasizing that regular polls reflect intentions on a specific day, which can change. Tzemach, who recently celebrated her 90th birthday, shared her experience of watching the results from home, expressing a desire for accurate outcomes.

In her recent work, Tzemach has focused on the Haredi sector. A survey she conducted two years ago on Haredi women suggested they might be more educated and interact with secular individuals, potentially serving as a bridge to the outside world. However, she found them to be very insular within the Haredi community, exhibiting a sense of stagnation. Tzemach believes this observation of stagnation also applies to Israeli voting patterns.