Veteran Pollster Mina Tzemach Reveals Dramatic Survey Manipulation
Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba
Veteran pollster Dr. Mina Tzemach revealed that Likud party operatives intentionally manipulated election polls in 2022, leading to inaccurate results. She explained that even small statistical deviations in polls can significantly impact election outcomes, potentially shifting up to five Knesset seats. Tzemach highlighted the difference between daily surveys and election day exit polls, noting that voter intentions can fluctuate.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Pollster Mina Tzemach claims Likud operatives intentionally manipulated election polls in 2022.
- Tzemach stated that poll manipulation can shift election results by as much as five Knesset seats.
- She distinguished between daily surveys and election day exit polls, noting changing voter intentions.
- The pollster believes statistical errors, not just manipulation, also contributed to outcome discrepancies.
- Tzemach's analysis comes despite her not participating in recent election polls.
Renowned pollster Dr. Mina Tzemach, despite not participating in recent election polls, has offered a sharp analysis of discrepancies between poll predictions and actual election results. Speaking on Radio 103fm, Tzemach discussed her experiences with intentional poll manipulation, attributing it to Likud party operatives. She stated that this manipulation occurred in 2022, leading to incorrect results, and that those responsible had apologized and promised not to repeat it.
Tzemach emphasized the difference between exit polls on election day and ongoing surveys, noting that a poll only reflects intentions on the day it is conducted, as voter intentions can change. She explained that even minor statistical errors, such as a two-percent shift between parties, can translate to a significant five-seat difference in the Knesset, which she believes likely occurred in recent elections.
She elaborated that while she was initially hesitant to discuss the matter, she felt compelled to reveal the source of the organized manipulation. Tzemach stated that the manipulation was orchestrated by the Likud party, a fact that was even reported on television. She expressed confusion as to why such actions are taken but lamented that they did occur.
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