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Ongoing Story· Day 26

New Poll Shows Arab Parties Winning 13 Knesset Seats, New Party Fails Threshold

27 developments

Al-ShamsPolitics

Arab Representation in Knesset Reaches New High, Influencing Israeli Government Formation

Translated & summarized from Al-Shams by baba

CommunityNeutral tone

Arabic · 1 newsroom

Arab representation in the Israeli Knesset has reached a new high with the Joint List winning 11 seats and the United Arab List securing 8, potentially influencing government formation. Journalist Jackie Khoury noted that while Arab parties met expectations, the "change bloc" faces challenges in forming a government. Potential scenarios include a minority government led by Gadi Eisenkot, contingent on Arab support and overcoming opposition from Netanyahu. US pressure and potential defections within the opposition could also impact the political landscape.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Arab representation in the Knesset reached a new high with 11 seats for the Joint List and 8 for the United Arab List.
  • Journalist Jackie Khoury stated that any failure to form a government should not be blamed on Arab parties.
  • A potential minority government led by Gadi Eisenkot faces significant political risks and depends on Arab support.
  • The vote for Knesset speaker will test the change bloc's willingness to cooperate with Arab lawmakers.
  • US entities are urging cooperation with Arab lawmakers, though President Trump's regional calculations are unlikely to change solely based on this.
  • Potential defections from the opposition to Likud could force Gadi Eisenkot to reconsider cooperation with Arab parties.

A significant increase in Arab representation in the Israeli Knesset, with the Joint List securing 11 seats and the United Arab List taking 8, marks a major achievement for the Arab community, according to journalist Jackie Khoury. This surge, potentially bringing the total number of Arab lawmakers to 21 when including Arab members from other parties, could reshape future relations with Zionist parties and enhance Arab political influence.

Khoury stated that the Arab public fulfilled its electoral duty, and the Arab parties achieved their desired seat counts. He emphasized that any failure to form a new government should not be blamed on the Arab parties, but rather on the "change bloc" for failing to attract expected support from the liberal right and on Avigdor Lieberman for not reaching his projected seat numbers. Israeli parties remain hesitant to leverage these results for a government change.

One proposed scenario involves Gadi Eisenkot attempting to form a minority government with around 48 to 49 Knesset members, though this carries significant political risks. Its success hinges on Arab parliamentary support, Eisenkot's ability to counter Netanyahu's incitement, and the willingness of other opposition factions to accept this path. Understandings with the Haredi parties are also possible, despite electoral pledges, due to shared interests in conscription laws and financial resources.

The vote for a new Knesset speaker will serve as an initial test of the change bloc's commitment to cooperating with Arab lawmakers. A supportive vote from the Joint List for a consensus opposition candidate could signal a broader political shift, revealing whether Eisenkot and other opposition leaders are prepared for practical steps to alter the balance of power.

American entities, including lobbies and Jewish organizations, have urged cooperation with Arab lawmakers and the validation of their political representation, which Khoury believes may influence discussions within the change bloc. However, he doubts President Donald Trump will alter regional calculations solely based on this, as US priorities also include relations with Netanyahu, Iran, and regional power dynamics. Midterm election results in the US could also impact Israeli political calculations if they shift congressional power balances.

Khoury warned of potential defections from Eisenkot's party to Likud, noting that Netanyahu might try to lure opposition figures to thwart a new government. Such defections would compel Eisenkot to reconsider cooperation with Arab lawmakers, especially if votes against Netanyahu could be used to bolster his own political standing. Ultimately, Khoury stressed that the Arab community has achieved a clear electoral success, and the onus is now on the change bloc to decide whether it is ready to translate these results into tangible political change.

Al-ShamsArab · Nazareth

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