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Ongoing Story· Day 35

Predictive Markets: How Money Can Influence Election Outcomes

6 developments

YnetPolitics

Israeli Election Bets on Polymarket Reach $70 Million

Translated & summarized from Ynet by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · 1 newsroom

Wagers on the Israeli elections on the Polymarket betting site reached approximately $70 million, one of the largest political bets outside the U.S. Early on election day, bets totaled $54.2 million, surging to $70.8 million by the end of the night. Users had predicted Gadi Eisenkot had a 56% chance of becoming prime minister, but Benjamin Netanyahu was leading after exit polls were released.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Israeli election bets on Polymarket reached approximately $70 million.
  • The market volume surged to $70.8 million by the end of election night.
  • Users initially predicted Gadi Eisenkot had a 56% chance of becoming prime minister.
  • Benjamin Netanyahu was leading after exit polls were released.
  • This represents one of the largest political bets on a country outside the U.S.

The popular betting website Polymarket saw users wager approximately $70 million on the outcome of the Israeli elections, making it one of the largest political bets ever placed on a country outside the United States. Early in the election day, wagers on the Israeli elections on Polymarket had reached $54.2 million. A few days prior, the market had already surpassed $55 million. Throughout election night, trading intensified, with the market volume reaching about $70.8 million. Users on the platform had predicted a 56% chance for Gadi Eisenkot, Chairman of Yesh!, to become the next prime minister, while Benjamin Netanyahu was given only a 27.5% chance. However, hours after exit polls were published, Netanyahu was already leading.

YnetCentre · Rishon LeZion

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